Katsu, the Wanderer at Battle Hardened Munich 2025

Katsu, the Wanderer

Katsu, the Wanderer

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

41st • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.9

Diff

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kacper Mocek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Aleks Richter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Julia Angermeier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Nils Hauck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

Uzuri, Switchblade

R8

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.40
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.61
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.47
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

44th • 4-4-0

25%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs None ()

Fang, Dracai of Blades

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 54:46

Puffin, Hightail

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marius Reinhardt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 41:59

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Wolfgang Mahl (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

Kassai of the Golden Sand

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Leo Reichl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

Dorinthea Ironsong

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jeremie Pohl (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53

Puffin, Hightail

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 41:59

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

15:85

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 15:85

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.48
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Win	✗	0.75	1.00
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.82
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.3

Diff

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bastian Brandstetter (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Johann Schwarze (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 48:52

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Emanuele Damiani ()

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.33
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.