Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
72nd • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonas Preusch (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lukas Lorek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 33:67
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Steinhauer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 25:75
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Christoph Munzig (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.