Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn at Battle Hardened Munich 2025
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
72nd • 3-5-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonas Preusch (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lukas Lorek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Steinhauer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Christoph Munzig (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.