Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Battle Hardened Munich 2025
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Müller (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Jonas Schütze (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marius Klezok (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Elmar Bruckmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.