Calling: Shizuoka 2025 - Kayo, Armed and Dangerous (CC)

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

44 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Keith Tan

5th • 10-3-0

77%

Meta

+3.9

Perf

6.6

Surp

5.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs David Yau (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs シンヤカワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

25:75

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs motohiro makigano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.6 total deviation

Difficulty

5.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.15
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.13
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.31
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.39
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.71
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.57
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R12	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.78
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

RYOTO KAGAWA

26th • 8-4-0

50%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

5.7

Surp

4.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Taiki Koike (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 拓弥橋本 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

80:20

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs 周万濵口 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Connor Leverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Thiwakorn Kanokwanavong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Andrew Hilleary (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

50% (6/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.13
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.24
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.34
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.17
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.57
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R9	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.22
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.93
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

KOHEI TAKANO

51st • 6-6-0

58%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

5.7

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Chun On Anson Wong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs humiaki hattori (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ryu San jose (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs 中嶋海成 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs EIKI SUGAI (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Thiwakorn Kanokwanavong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs 佐藤宗良 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

58% (7/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.36
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.36
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.46
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.58
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R11	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.01

Yoshiki Inada

dropped • 6-4-0

60%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.4

Surp

3.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 稜馬石川 (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Hilleary (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs tomoya kitagawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs 中嶋海成 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

60% (6/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.07
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.30
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.39
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.08
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R9	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.01

TAITO SUZUKI

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.1

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Satsuki Itagaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs kei kimura (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Theodore Andrew (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs David Yau (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Yuma Ishikura (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.25
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.44
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.28
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 福永純 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 暁柴野 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ryusei Tani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 中嶋海成 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 高柳賢一 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Shinmura Kazuya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.09
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.34
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.95
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

Jakub Tepper

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Iada Caio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nick Butcher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.16
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.63
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.61
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Keisuke Iwamura

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ryu San jose (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Fu Kah Deng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kyle Gamboa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs 暁柴野 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.16
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.49
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.56
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.50
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Kyoshiro Takegahara

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.9

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs tim Lin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 守山下 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs shutatsu sato (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Nathan Youngblut (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.44
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.66
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.92

Naib Mobassir

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs としきながやま (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Denny Koh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.09
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.39
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.68
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

Shigeki Okura

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs ryuto nakagawa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hojin Choi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Takamasa Kamei (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ikumi Miyao (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs 雄斗宮地 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.39
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.82
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.78
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.50
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

YuDi Chen

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joniel Ibasco (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 野原由一 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs 一樹日浦 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.31
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.76
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.92

奏石丸

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 了亮足立 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Akihiro Takano (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nova Chan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs 広朗大澤 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs 智行内海 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.27
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.87
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

高柳賢一

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs shota kajiro (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 智行内海 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hazama Levi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs 福永純 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.23
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

Mark Tan

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs RYUSEI YAMAKAWA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 渓松井 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 秀太栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Joniel Ibasco (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.46
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.98

Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong

dropped • 3-4-0

29%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 直人三田 (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs TAKEYUKI MATSUBARA (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Rachata Leryoschaipong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs 雄斗宮地 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jakub Tepper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.16
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.63
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.79
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

kouji hamada

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 佐藤宗良 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kentaro Hase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs 和佳倉田 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.56
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

yaqiong Ju

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Masaya Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs EITARO SHIBATA (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 佐藤宗良 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.23
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.82
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.91
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

理央鎌田

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs ゆうひ石丸 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kentaro Hase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs RYUSEI YAMAKAWA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs TAKAMASA OISHI (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Akifumi Hayashi (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Ryusei Tani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.73
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.79

Ran Sasaki

dropped • 2-5-0

29%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 尚規石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 34:66

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kentaro Hase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs 直人三田 (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.70
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Chun On Anson Wong

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sato Koichiro (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marcus Javier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 荒金優太 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Clinton Ng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.51
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.54
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nakara Juntavong

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mizuki Takei (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 北斗神原 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs YuDi Chen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Keith Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 匠哉小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.18
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.64
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

erwin leung

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 将希西尾 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Shogo Takayama (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs 陽介野村 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kyle Gamboa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.28
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.22
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

ka chun chan

dropped • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Masay Toda (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kimura Akifumi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Noriyuki Sugioka (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.39
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.60
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

naoyuki kojima

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 稜馬石川 (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 63:37

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 雄也大川 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Yau (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Peng Joon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.22
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.32
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Panagiotis Sotiropoulos

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Taiki Koike (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 野原由一 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Naoki Endo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.72
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Bernie L

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.7

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs MASAYA IWASAKI (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs SHIGETAKA HAMA (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kimura Akifumi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 39:61

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs ゆうひ石丸 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.38
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.35
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Clinton Ng

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Panagiotis Sotiropoulos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ken Sawada (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Chun On Anson Wong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.47
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

David Yau

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Keith Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs SHO YAMAUCHI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs naoyuki kojima (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs TAITO SUZUKI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.70
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Deitrich Mohan

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.2

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alfian Poon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs erwin leung (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs OH Youngjin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Nova Chan

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Paweł Rozynek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ikumi Miyao (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alfian Poon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 奏石丸 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.23
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.35
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Yusuke Asama

dropped • 2-3-0

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Rich Pauls (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hazama Levi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sato Koichiro (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

0% (0/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.31
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.23
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

shirui wu

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Masaya Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs 了亮足立 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.39
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.92

Geoff Wong

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kazuna Otsuka (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs SHIGETAKA HAMA (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Kenta Miki

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Hilleary (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kendal Cannon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.03
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Masaru Yoshizawa

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs None ()

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Noriyuki Sugioka (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Theodore Andrew

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yuki Yokoyama (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ryu San jose (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs TAITO SUZUKI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

wooram Oh

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 野原由一 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rachata Leryoschaipong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 福永純 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.51
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

優太高橋

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.51
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

永井泰洋

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.5

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Stephen Miller (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Denny Koh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs kazuki ueda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

shota kajiro

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 高柳賢一 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 원률 신 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 56:44

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.57
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Jack Tang

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joniel Ibasco (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

SHO YAMAUCHI

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Yau (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

将希西尾

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs humiaki hattori (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 明久髙橋 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs erwin leung (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.