FaB-Results

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at Calling: Shizuoka 2025

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Hiroyuki Tansei
10th • 9-3-0
50%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
5.8
Surp
5.0
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kazushi Nimiya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Fang, Dracai of Blades
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Suzuki Takahiro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 74:26
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Risa Shioji (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37
Kano, Dracai of Aether
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michalis Michael (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs 佐藤 宗良 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Dash I/O
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Dash I/O
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Yoshiki Mizutani
32nd • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.3
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sato Koichiro (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Pleiades, Superstar
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 匠哉 小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 45:55
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yuma Ishikura (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Saori TOYOIZUMI
48th • 7-5-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
5.2
Surp
2.5
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hazuki Mori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 悠 志茂坂 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Fang, Dracai of Blades
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs taisuke yoshino (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 74:26
Kassai of the Golden Sand
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Connor Leverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Fang, Dracai of Blades
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 창건 곽 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 74:26
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!!
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Kassai of the Golden Sand
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Pleiades, Superstar
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs 匠哉 小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 45:55
Kelvin Ng
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mason Galvan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!!
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 福永 純 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Juan Pablo Fonseca Lemos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Kyle Gamboa
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacky Ho ()
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs erwin leung (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Puffin, Hightail
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
TSUNAKI SAWAI
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
Kano, Dracai of Aether
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 高柳 賢一 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 明久 髙橋 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hojin Choi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christian Bergesen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Ryusei Tani
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Taiga Maeda (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 74:26
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!!
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 雄斗 宮地 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jun Sato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 理央 鎌田 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Masaki Hamada
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs yaqiong Ju (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Motoyoshi Bambara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.