FaB-Results
Arakni, Marionette

Arakni, Marionette

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

GAICHI YAMADA
9th • 9-3-0
83%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.1
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Theodore Andrew (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Fang, Dracai of Blades
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ikumi Miyao (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Clinton Ng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jakub Tepper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Saori TOYOIZUMI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Fang, Dracai of Blades
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kai Liang Fong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
!
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Tatsuaki Tsuchida
25th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.6
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 由美 田中 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Kano, Dracai of Aether
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs naoyuki kojima (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Taiki Koike (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Fang, Dracai of Blades
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Mickail Lim
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hazama Levi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 英明 大山 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shou Miyahara (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs ryuto nakagawa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Taiki Koike (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 佐藤 宗良 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Ryu San jose
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Motoyoshi Bambara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Theodore Andrew (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Fang, Dracai of Blades
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
Shinmura Kazuya
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Katsu, the Wanderer
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Akifumi Hayashi (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Nisthal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 北斗 神原 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Daichi Fujita
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.1
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs コウヘイ イシカワ (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Masaaki Yamanobe (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 39:61
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Megumi Hori (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Kazushi Nimiya
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brian Bicknell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ユウキ テラダ (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, Huntsman
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shota Deguchi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
Kendal Cannon
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenta Miki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs humiaki hattori (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.