FaB-Results

Arakni, Marionette at Calling: Shizuoka 2025

Arakni, Marionette

Arakni, Marionette

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

GAICHI YAMADA
9th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.9
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Theodore Andrew (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Fang, Dracai of Blades
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ikumi Miyao (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Clinton Ng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jakub Tepper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Saori TOYOIZUMI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Fang, Dracai of Blades
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kai Liang Fong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
!
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Tatsuaki Tsuchida
25th • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.5
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 由美 田中 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Kano, Dracai of Aether
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs naoyuki kojima (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Kassai of the Golden Sand
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Taiki Koike (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Fang, Dracai of Blades
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Mickail Lim
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hazama Levi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 英明 大山 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shou Miyahara (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs ryuto nakagawa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Taiki Koike (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 佐藤 宗良 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Ryu San jose
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Motoyoshi Bambara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Theodore Andrew (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Fang, Dracai of Blades
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30
Shinmura Kazuya
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Katsu, the Wanderer
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Akifumi Hayashi (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 56:44
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Nisthal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 北斗 神原 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Daichi Fujita
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.1
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs コウヘイ イシカワ (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Masaaki Yamanobe (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 33:67
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Megumi Hori (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Kazushi Nimiya
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brian Bicknell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ユウキ テラダ (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
Arakni, Huntsman
!
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shota Deguchi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Kendal Cannon
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenta Miki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs humiaki hattori (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.