Katsu, the Wanderer
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 根本 正尭 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shinmura Kazuya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kohei Namba (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 由美 田中 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 理央 鎌田 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 了亮 足立 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.