Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
42 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 9-4-0
62%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
6.1
Surp
5.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jack Tang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 78:22
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Gamboa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Takahito Natsume (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Tsohohey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Hazuki Mori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs haruka sonoda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 9: Win vs Ryota Kitanaka (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Round 11: Win vs Yusuke Miki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
Round 12: Loss vs Keith Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
36th • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
6.1
Surp
5.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mizuki Takei (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nathan Youngblut (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Win vs Henry Leasure (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Saori TOYOIZUMI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 12: Win vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
39th • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 英明 大山 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Hilleary (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs yaqiong Ju (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alexander Tsohohey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
Round 9: Win vs Mason Galvan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Round 11: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
41st • 7-5-0
42%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.7
Surp
3.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs ryuto nakagawa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sota Amitsu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alfian Poon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Juan Pablo Fonseca Lemos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
15:85
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michalis Michael (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
42nd • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yusuke Asama (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
Round 4: Win vs Juntaek Lim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hiroaki Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Yoshiki Inada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Satsuki Itagaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
43rd • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.2
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs haruka sonoda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Takaaki Sano (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
Round 4: Win vs yohei ohki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs EIKI SUGAI (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 79:21
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ken Sawada (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Paweł Rozynek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
Round 12: Loss vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 6-4-1
27%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 원률 신 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Samual Nightingale (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryusei Tani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Risa Shioji (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Shigeki Okura (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Satsuki Itagaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs 佐藤 宗良 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
27% (3/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Draw |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 6-5-0
55%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stephen Miller (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Masaaki Yamanobe (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 79:21
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 高柳 賢一 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 奏 石丸 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Paweł Rozynek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
15:85
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michalis Michael (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 6-3-1
70%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Panu Avakul (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
Round 2: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Iada Caio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Daisuke Nakashima (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Masaaki Yamanobe (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 79:21
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Peng Joon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs 匠哉 小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 59:41
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ken Sawada (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 6-4-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nova Chan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs yohei ohki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs ryuto nakagawa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs 暁 柴野 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs 佐藤 宗良 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (5/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 6-4-0
80%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Noriyuki Sugioka (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs ka chun chan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Takahito Natsume (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
15:85
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Yusuke Miki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Satsuki Itagaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
80% (8/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Suzuki Takahiro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs yanao kento (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ka chun chan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mark Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 暁 柴野 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Masaya Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs 三輪 佑樹 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Saori TOYOIZUMI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jakub Tepper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs yohei ohki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Naoki Yasukawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
Round 3: Loss vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 良亮 河野 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 高柳 賢一 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alfian Poon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs yanao kento (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Megumi Hori (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Taiki Koike (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rachata Leryoschaipong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ryusei Tani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Nisthal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs yuki ideue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Tsohohey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yusuke Miki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shota Deguchi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs naoyuki kojima (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mizuki Tamura (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hazama Levi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs yohei ohki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs YuDi Chen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jack Tang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ugo Henson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Naoki Yasukawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jakub Tepper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 奏 石丸 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 一樹 日浦 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 永井 泰洋 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs SHIGETAKA HAMA (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Samual Nightingale (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michalis Michael (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brian Bicknell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Akihiro Takano (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 79:21
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thiwakorn Kanokwanavong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
Round 3: Loss vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Panagiotis Sotiropoulos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
Round 6: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ikumi Miyao (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
Round 4: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs humiaki hattori (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Round 7: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 理央 鎌田 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
Round 2: Loss vs Hiroaki Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Takeji Furugen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 渓 松井 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bernie L (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs kazuki ueda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stephen Miller (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs TAKAMASA OISHI (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 79:21
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Round 7: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs 奏 石丸 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kimura Akifumi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Takuya iida (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
95:5
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs kei kimura (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 93:7
Round 5: Loss vs shirui wu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Akifumi Hayashi (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 81:19
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs shutatsu sato (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 95% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Shinmura Kazuya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs yuki ideue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
Round 7: Loss vs 直人 三田 (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
43%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kendal Cannon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Hilleary (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs suk kyo suh (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 一樹 日浦 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryusei Tani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christian Bergesen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Katsuya Hirai (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mickail Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yusuke Asama (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 高柳 賢一 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs SHIGETAKA HAMA (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 和佳 倉田 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ダイ オカモト (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs 渓 松井 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
80%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Johnny Zen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tsutomu Koganezawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
Round 5: Loss vs ka chun chan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Draw |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 北斗 神原 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs コウヘイ イシカワ (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 優太 高橋 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
Round 5: Loss vs Marcus Javier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs shota kajiro (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Denny Koh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Risa Shioji (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Saori TOYOIZUMI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Round 5: Loss vs Mitsuhiro Iwata (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hiroyuki Tanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs yaqiong Ju (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sota Amitsu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Motoyoshi Bambara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yuma Ishikura (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Round 3: Loss vs Shigeki Okura (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bernie L (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thiwakorn Kanokwanavong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs Marcus Javier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sota Amitsu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mitsuhiro Iwata (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34
Round 4: Loss vs erwin leung (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michalis Michael (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yasutaka Okamoto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Risa Shioji (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-1
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Mickail Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tomotsugu Kikuta (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.