Kano, Dracai of Aether
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
21st • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
5.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Connor Leverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Peng Joon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30
Round 6: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 匠哉 小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
Round 11: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16, favorite upset
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
22nd • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
5.0
Surp
2.5
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
Round 2: Win vs 根本 正尭 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Takahito Natsume (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
Round 4: Loss vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16, favorite upset
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alfian Poon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hazuki Mori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Andrew Hilleary (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Michalis Michael (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (7.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
33rd • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs kou rui yang (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yoshihiko Kato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hiroaki Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 佐藤 宗良 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs tomoya kitagawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs kazuki ueda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
Round 8: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
85:15
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs 智行 内海 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs yohei ohki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
85:15
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs 暁 柴野 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kentaro Hase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 永井 泰洋 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
Round 6: Loss vs Tomotsugu Kikuta (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Akihiro Takano (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fu Kah Deng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Chuan Yang Loy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs wooram Oh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jun Sato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs suk kyo suh (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hiroaki Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tomotsugu Kikuta (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shigeki Okura (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
100%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Shigeki Okura (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Kenta Miki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs RYUSEI YAMAKAWA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs RYOYA HATTORI (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs EIKI SUGAI (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 원률 신 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Johnny Zen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Loss vs Kazuna Otsuka (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.