Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
28 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 12-3-0
60%
Meta
+3.8
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sota Amitsu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs ka chun chan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Round 3: Win vs 広朗 大澤 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yutaro Yamada (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 7: Win vs Ken Sawada (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Juntaek Lim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs motohiro makigano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Keith Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs motohiro makigano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
Round 14: Win vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (9/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.8 Wins (8.2 expected, 12 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
5th • 10-3-0
85%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mitsuhiro Iwata (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Round 4: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 一樹 日浦 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs TAKEYUKI MATSUBARA (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 8: Win vs Hazuki Mori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs haruka sonoda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ryota Kitanaka (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (7.7 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
13th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jun Sato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Satsuki Itagaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs 明久 髙橋 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
Round 6: Loss vs Keith Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs TAITO SUZUKI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs yohei ohki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
15th • 9-3-0
92%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.0
Surp
2.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 永井 泰洋 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Round 7: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Masaya Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
Round 10: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Michalis Michael (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Kai Liang Fong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (7.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
18th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
4.8
Surp
3.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yoshiki Inada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yuma Ishikura (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
19th • 9-3-0
75%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
5.1
Surp
4.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paulus Adiprabawa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs yuki ideue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yusuke Asama (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marcus Javier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Thiwakorn Kanokwanavong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 9: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Taiki Koike (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
29th • 8-3-1
75%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs TAITO SUZUKI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 和佳 倉田 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Yuki Matsumoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs 雄斗 宮地 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
23rd • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 雄也 大川 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 直人 三田 (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hazama Levi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
Round 7: Win vs Hiroaki Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs None ()
Round 9: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Juntaek Lim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Win |
| R8 | 50% | Win | |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 6-5-0
55%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Massimo Castelli (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Satsuki Itagaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 明久 髙橋 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
Round 5: Win vs 英 鈴木 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 荒金 優太 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 8: Win vs 中嶋 海成 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Andrew Hilleary (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Round 11: Loss vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 6-4-0
80%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anthony Hlaing (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Panagiotis Sotiropoulos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jun Sato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
Round 5: Win vs Samual Nightingale (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mickail Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Masaya Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (8/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-5-0
90%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
4.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs yaqiong Ju (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs shirui wu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs suk kyo suh (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 匠哉 小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Taiki Koike (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Paweł Rozynek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
90% (9/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (5.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
86%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nick Butcher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs shutatsu sato (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 優太 高橋 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Denny Koh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
Round 6: Loss vs Yusuke Miki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs kouki miura (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Suzuki Takahiro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Round 4: Win vs 広朗 大澤 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hazama Levi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Satsuki Itagaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shine Wong cm (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Loss vs Daisuke Nakashima (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Yuki Takayasu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kenta Miki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Nisthal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mizuki Takei (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ikumi Miyao (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kazuna Otsuka (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 了亮 足立 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-1
29%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Kohei Namba (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Tsutomu Koganezawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ikumi Miyao (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-1
33%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Takuya iida (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Kentaro Hase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 三輪 佑樹 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mitsuhiro Iwata (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Draw |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Peng Joon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taiga Maeda (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Hlaing (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shinmura Kazuya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rich Pauls (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taiga Maeda (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kimura Akifumi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mickail Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs KeDuo Yang (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Tsohohey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hiroyuki Tanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rich Pauls (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Masaaki Yamanobe (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Akifumi Hayashi (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Loss vs yohei ohki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hazuki Mori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-2
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ken Sawada (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Christian Bergesen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Akifumi Hayashi (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Draw |
dropped • 1-2-1
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paulus Adiprabawa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Massimo Castelli (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 守 山下 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Round 2: Loss vs Chun On Anson Wong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chuan Yang Loy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs SHIGETAKA HAMA (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 英 鈴木 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
Round 2: Loss vs Rachata Leryoschaipong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sato Koichiro (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.