Calling: Shizuoka 2025 - Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X (CC)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

直人三田

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 祥弘橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 稜馬石川 (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 54:46

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kento Goya (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs 北斗神原 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.72
R5	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.84
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.74
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.51

Suh Jaeyong

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs shirui wu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs TAKAMASA OISHI (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Cold Cold Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.17
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.50
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R6	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Jakub Nowicki

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nova Chan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Fadel Teasa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs としきながやま (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 祥弘橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.37
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.76
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Yasutaka Okamoto

dropped • 0-2-1

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs ダイオカモト (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Iada Caio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 24:76

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Naoki Yasukawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Draw	✗	0.42	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.