Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
23 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 11-3-0
64%
Meta
+4.0
Perf
7.1
Surp
6.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shinmura Kazuya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Loss vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yusuke Miki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 悠 志茂坂 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Megumi Hori (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ryu San jose (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tomotsugu Kikuta (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Pudding Tam (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
Round 10: Win vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs yohei ohki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
64% (9/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
7.1 total deviation
Difficulty
6.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
12th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.8
Surp
2.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs 大介 小関 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Fu Kah Deng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 智行 内海 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
90:10
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs EIKI SUGAI (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 91:9
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yusuke Miki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
Round 9: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
80:20
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 90% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
24th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 由美 田中 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Suzuki Takahiro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs tim Lin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yoshiki Inada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs 暁 柴野 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
37th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs KeDuo Yang (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kelvin Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Satsuki Itagaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs ゆうひ 石丸 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs humiaki hattori (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
Round 11: Win vs 和佳 倉田 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Juntaek Lim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
44th • 7-4-1
67%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shogo Takayama (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yusuke Miki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Win vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cold Cold Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Juan Pablo Fonseca Lemos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs yohei ohki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Draw vs 匠哉 小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs 雄斗 宮地 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
Round 12: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Draw |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
38th • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.3
Surp
2.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Geoff Wong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
Round 4: Loss vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Paweł Rozynek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs haruka sonoda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
45th • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
5.0
Surp
2.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Naoki Endo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs MASAYA IWASAKI (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cold Cold Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Hilleary (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
Round 10: Loss vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs 匠哉 小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samual Nightingale (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thiwakorn Kanokwanavong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 荒金 優太 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs TAKEYUKI MATSUBARA (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paweł Rozynek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
Round 6: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daisuke Nakashima (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shou Miyahara (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs yuki ideue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
Round 6: Win vs Iada Caio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 明久 髙橋 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alfian Poon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Risa Shioji (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Satsuki Itagaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Henry Leasure (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs RYOYA HATTORI (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
Round 3: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 稜馬 石川 (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Taiga Maeda (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tsutomu Koganezawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hojin Choi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Round 7: Loss vs TAITO SUZUKI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 将希 西尾 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
Round 2: Loss vs Akihiro Takano (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 91:9, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kendal Cannon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kazuna Otsuka (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nathan Youngblut (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 90% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs RYOYA HATTORI (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chun On Anson Wong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 中嶋 海成 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cold Cold Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 和佳 倉田 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-2
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Noriyuki Sugioka (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs KOTA SANJO (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs コウヘイ イシカワ (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shine Wong cm (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Loss vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs SHIGETAKA HAMA (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yuki Takayasu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Draw |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Draw |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-1
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 75:25
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 良亮 河野 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 大介 小関 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs RYOYA HATTORI (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 由美 田中 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Draw |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 渓 松井 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
Round 2: Loss vs Jun Sato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daichi Fujita (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hiroyuki Tanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 81:19
Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Tepper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mitsuki Sakata (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hiromu Urahigashi (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Takaaki Sano (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samual Nightingale (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 5: Loss vs erwin leung (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 周万 濵口 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Panu Avakul (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Colin Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 中嶋 海成 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuki Yokoyama (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 直人 三田 (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.