Dorinthea Ironsong
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Win vs ゆうひ 石丸 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michalis Michael (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Akihiro Takano (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Round 7: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs kei kimura (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cold Cold Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
Round 3: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 匠哉 小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 25:75
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Colin Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs kazuki ueda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs EIKI SUGAI (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alfian Poon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
Round 4: Win vs Joniel Ibasco (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shou Miyahara (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
Round 6: Loss vs Marcus Javier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Masaaki Yamanobe (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Riley McIntyre (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
Round 4: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuma Ishikura (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
Round 6: Win vs Naoki Endo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thiwakorn Kanokwanavong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Megumi Hori (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Takuya iida (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs ゆうひ 石丸 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
Round 5: Win vs Joniel Ibasco (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 広朗 大澤 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs taisuke yoshino (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 将希 西尾 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 和佳 倉田 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 三輪 佑樹 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
Round 3: Loss vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs RYUSEI YAMAKAWA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuma Ishikura (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noriyuki Sugioka (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Bergesen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.