Kassai of the Golden Sand at Calling: Shizuoka 2025
Kassai of the Golden Sand
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
6.2
Surp
5.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Kai Liang Fong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ken Sawada (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Win vs kazuki ueda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Akihiro Takano (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
Round 8: Win vs Saori TOYOIZUMI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs 和佳 倉田 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
dropped • 6-5-0
73%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hiromu Urahigashi (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Tsohohey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Geoff Wong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs YuDi Chen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Rachata Leryoschaipong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ken Sawada (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Saori TOYOIZUMI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-5-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Saori TOYOIZUMI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Masay Toda (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Brian Bicknell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 根本 正尭 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
Round 5: Win vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs yohei ohki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
40% (4/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yusuke Miki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs ユウキ テラダ (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24
Round 3: Win vs 三輪 佑樹 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Saori TOYOIZUMI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None ()
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Keith Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Win vs KeDuo Yang (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 智行 内海 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Samual Nightingale (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Johnson Lim (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 広朗 大澤 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 英 鈴木 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs としき ながやま (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Takaaki Sano (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs TAKAMASA OISHI (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jack Tang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 渓 松井 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mark Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chuan Yang Loy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Juan Pablo Fonseca Lemos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 和佳 倉田 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-1
80%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Denny Koh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 理央 鎌田 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Colin Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Draw |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs EIKI SUGAI (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs shirui wu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None ()
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Kohei Namba (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | 50% | Win | |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Draw |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 智行 内海 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 永井 泰洋 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 一樹 日浦 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs RYOYA HATTORI (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Theodore Andrew (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Win vs Kento Goya (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Iada Caio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Samual Nightingale (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.