Ira, Scarlet Revenger at Calling: Shizuoka 2025
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
14 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.4
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 暁 柴野 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Massimo Castelli (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Win vs Shota Deguchi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs 周万 濵口 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
Round 7: Win vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Loss vs 根本 正尭 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs 北斗 神原 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 良亮 河野 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs EITARO SHIBATA (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs EIKI SUGAI (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 31:69
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michalis Michael (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs suk kyo suh (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs kei kimura (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Win vs Naoki Endo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryu San jose (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Motoyoshi Bambara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 47:53
Round 6: Win vs Panagiotis Sotiropoulos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs shutatsu sato (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 悠 志茂坂 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
Round 3: Win vs SHO YAMAUCHI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Naoki Endo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christian Bergesen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Takeji Furugen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 拓弥 橋本 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Johnson Lim (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs wooram Oh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 高柳 賢一 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Loss vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Mitsuhiro Iwata (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 由美 田中 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs RYUSEI YAMAKAWA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Johnny Zen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Johnson Lim (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brian Bicknell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 65:35
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Takeji Furugen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paulus Adiprabawa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs naoyuki kojima (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-1
33%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Yasutaka Okamoto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Draw |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs としき ながやま (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 福永 純 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shota Deguchi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 39:61
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kazushi Nimiya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.