Ira, Scarlet Revenger at Calling: Shizuoka 2025
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
14 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 暁 柴野 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Massimo Castelli (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shota Deguchi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs 周万 濵口 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 91:9, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 90% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 根本 正尭 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
Round 4: Win vs 北斗 神原 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 良亮 河野 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs EITARO SHIBATA (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs EIKI SUGAI (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michalis Michael (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs suk kyo suh (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 45:55
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs kei kimura (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Naoki Endo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryu San jose (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Motoyoshi Bambara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Panagiotis Sotiropoulos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs shutatsu sato (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 悠 志茂坂 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs SHO YAMAUCHI (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Naoki Endo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christian Bergesen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Takeji Furugen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 拓弥 橋本 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Johnson Lim (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs wooram Oh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 高柳 賢一 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mitsuhiro Iwata (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 由美 田中 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs RYUSEI YAMAKAWA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Johnny Zen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Johnson Lim (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brian Bicknell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 91:9
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Takeji Furugen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Paulus Adiprabawa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs naoyuki kojima (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-1
33%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Yasutaka Okamoto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Draw |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs としき ながやま (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 福永 純 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shota Deguchi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kazushi Nimiya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.