Vynnset, Iron Maiden
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
4.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Hlaing (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs taisuke yoshino (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chun On Anson Wong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
Round 4: Win vs MASAYA IWASAKI (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 拓弥 橋本 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 中嶋 海成 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 荒金 優太 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shigeki Okura (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Takaaki Sano (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 直人 酒井 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Win vs Panu Avakul (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Motoyoshi Bambara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs wooram Oh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Panagiotis Sotiropoulos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Naoki Endo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs OH Youngjin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.