Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-3-0
31%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
6.8
Surp
5.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 圭資 山村 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs suk kyo suh (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 91:9
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Win vs motohiro makigano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paweł Rozynek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Keith Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Round 12: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
31% (4/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kai Liang Fong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Win vs Kendal Cannon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs yaqiong Ju (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jakub Tepper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 佐藤 宗良 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jun Sato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle Gamboa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 英 鈴木 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Nisthal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs yaqiong Ju (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Iada Caio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Takenori Arakawa (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 91:9
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs shutatsu sato (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.