Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Calling: Shizuoka 2025
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-3-0
69%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
7.0
Surp
5.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs 圭資 山村 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs suk kyo suh (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oh Oh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Win vs motohiro makigano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paweł Rozynek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Keith Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Round 12: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
7.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kai Liang Fong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Win vs Kendal Cannon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs yaqiong Ju (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33
Round 2: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jakub Tepper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 佐藤 宗良 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jun Sato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle Gamboa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 英 鈴木 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Nisthal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs yaqiong Ju (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Iada Caio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Takenori Arakawa (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs shutatsu sato (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.