Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at Calling: Shizuoka 2025
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs tomoya kitagawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79
10:90
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 10:90
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 10% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs OH Youngjin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 2: Win vs humiaki hattori (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 10:90, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 奏 石丸 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hiroaki Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs tim Lin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Denny Koh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 10% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 智行 内海 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daichi Fujita (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67
Round 5: Win vs 守 山下 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joniel Ibasco (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 佐藤 宗良 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 理央 鎌田 (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 一樹 日浦 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 佐藤 宗良 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.