Calling: Copenhagen 2025 - Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X (CC)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

51 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Francesco Giorgio

1st • 13-2-0

73%

Meta

+5.3

Perf

7.1

Surp

7.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Adrien Druart (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Felix Elias (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 75:25

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Emil Spangenberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Anders Andersen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

73% (11/15 favorable matchups)

Performance

+5.3 Wins (7.7 expected, 13 actual)

Surprise

7.1 total deviation

Difficulty

7.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.07
R2	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.09
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.08
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.20
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.32
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.49
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.64
R10	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.84
R11	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.20
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.63
R14	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.93
R15	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.25

Tommaso Viscido

3rd • 12-2-0

79%

Meta

+4.7

Perf

6.7

Surp

5.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jyry Soinio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs George Rodger (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Max Harudd Segerstein (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Finn Baird (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 77:23

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Fredrik Fagerberg (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

79% (11/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 12 actual)

Surprise

6.7 total deviation

Difficulty

5.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.07
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.28
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.31
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.19
R8	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.52
R9	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.42
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.76
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.57
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.82
R13	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.06
R14	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mirko Dolce

20th • 9-3-0

67%

Meta

+2.7

Perf

5.2

Surp

4.9

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Aleksandr Sevostjanovic (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Richard Schröder (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Arnaud Thenevin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Eric Edmond (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Tim Coates (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Daniel Eliassen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Thore Ladicke (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.03
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.16
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.16
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.28
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.39
R8	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.44
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.80
R11	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.15
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.50

Daniel Mulato

41st • 8-3-1

92%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

5.6

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Max Löhe (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Arnaud Thenevin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Sandén (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Felix Krisch (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Emil Spangenberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

92% (11/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.08
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.12
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.17
R4	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.22
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.56
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Draw	✗	0.45	-
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R12	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92

Rafał Liwerski

27th • 8-4-0

67%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

6.0

Surp

3.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Emil Spangenberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Giannis Koumidis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Juha-Antti Kurttila (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Andrea Migliavacca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Maximilian Stabenow (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.38
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.46
R6	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.43
R8	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.44
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.88
R11	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro

31st • 8-4-0

83%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

5.7

Surp

3.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Emilis Dirmeikis (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Simone Quartieri (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Adam West (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Lari Lampainen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

75:25

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 77:23

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.06
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.34
R5	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.27
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.82
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R10	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R11	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.35
R12	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Wojciech Ruciński

35th • 8-4-0

58%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

5.4

Surp

3.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Thomas G Jud (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrei Joghiu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sebastian Niedzielec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Brent Van de Staey (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Lucas Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Thore Ladicke (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Fredrik Fagerberg (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

58% (7/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.07
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.14
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.17
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.18
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.34
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.00
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.98
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R12	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92

Arthur Nijssen

50th • 7-5-0

42%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

5.8

Surp

3.6

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hasan Abdali (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Max Harudd Segerstein (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Dennis Fröberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Adrian Fjell (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

42% (5/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.18
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.28
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.43
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.40
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.71
R9	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.09
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Stefan Karlsson

59th • 7-5-0

83%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

5.7

Surp

2.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Linn (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dave Kerr (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kenni Pedersen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Linus Albat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Brent Van de Staey (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Ugnius Švedas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Wiktor Woźniak (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.12
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.27
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R5	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.27
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.63
R7	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.54
R9	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.73

Tim Heibrok

63rd • 7-5-0

83%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

6.2

Surp

3.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Emil Lohse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dmitri Sidorenko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Francesco Lorenzi (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Teo Rutisson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lari Lampainen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jacob Joergensen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Nicolas Heiden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs None (Unknown)

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.10
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.22
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.33
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.56
R8	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R11	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.30

Andrea Mengucci

dropped • 6-5-0

55%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

5.6

Surp

3.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Vaz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Frederik Pedersen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Alberto Di Blasi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Piotr Siewko (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Fabian Groß (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

55% (6/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.18
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.33
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.58
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.83
R8	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.19
R11	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Artur Wysocki

dropped • 6-4-0

70%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

5.1

Surp

2.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Noah Hicks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Juha Saarnilampi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Emil Spangenberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Gabe Sher (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Eliassen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

70% (7/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.11
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.20
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.42
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.75
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.70
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.76
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R10	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Fernando García-casarrubios

dropped • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ben Emmanuel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alexander Prull (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.21
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.29
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.59
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.57
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Michael Bonde

dropped • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Taimo Paavola (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Johannes Warming (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Martin Bergström (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Dennis Fröberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.30
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.29
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.61
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.95

Enes Findik

dropped • 4-2-1

86%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kalle Kivilahti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Pol Pérez (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Olli Saarinen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Draw vs Vladimir Del Valle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.14
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.52
R5	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.47
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Draw	✗	0.41	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Finn Baird

dropped • 4-2-1

86%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Petrone (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrea Migliavacca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Draw vs Vladimir Del Valle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.14
R2	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.19
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.42
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Draw	✗	0.41	-

Matteo Blasi

dropped • 4-2-1

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Julia Brown (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kit Valentine (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Tim McCarthy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.14
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.37
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.28
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Draw	✓	0.63	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.79
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Bino Nolting

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Javier Querol (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Martin Bergström (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Anders Andersen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Mikkel Hasselbalch Kristensen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.21
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Faustin Falissard

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jordy Pereira (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Teo Rutisson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.12
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.72
R5	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.47
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.82
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Florian Schmidt

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Frederik Damholt Hansen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Juho Hälli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Joakim Gustafsson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.10
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.25
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.74
R5	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.91
R7	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Gust Boelaert

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Fredrik Mecklin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tobias Neller (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Axel Gay (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Giannis Koumidis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs George Jones (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.61
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.58
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jaran Ødegaard Sørensen

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Thore Ladicke (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Igor Đekić (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alexander Prull (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Eric Edmond (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Tobias Pechnig (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Olga Sørensen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.21
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.36
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.28
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Jyry Soinio

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bernhard Hinna (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Shahin Ghorbani azad (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Rickard Ekermann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kai Martin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Klas Bergholtz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs August Rokkanen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.31
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.38
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.94
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Lucien Whitman

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Patryk Wasielewski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Oliver Spapens (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Julia Brown (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Marc Nielsen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.36
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.93
R6	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.56
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Peter Bråss

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.3

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andreas Ventzel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Roar Nesheim (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lucien Whitman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alexander Mayr (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sebastian Niedzielec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Richard Carr (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.61
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.48
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92

Pierre Rebeyrol

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Artis Ivanovs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Prull (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs enzo costa (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tim Coates (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Patryk Wasielewski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jon Holm Thomsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.50
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.69
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.73

Adrian Fjell

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Teo Rutisson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christopher Dührkop (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Marius Beuth (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Fabrizio Cenacchi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs enzo costa (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.63
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.58
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

George Jones

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joakim Gustafsson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lewis Day (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kit Valentine (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ugnius Švedas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Gust Boelaert (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.19
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.47
R4	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.37
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ha-Lim Chang

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Wiktor Woźniak (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christian Sørup Jensen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marius Beuth (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ben Lux (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Adam West (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.30
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.47
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.86
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Jonas Müller

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alberto Di Blasi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Simone Quartieri (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Erasmus Stenskilde (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs damien herlin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Steve Andrew (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.30
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.12
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Juan Victor Echeverria

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Hasan Abdali (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jesper Lindström (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Finn Baird (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Samuel Parry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.39
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Linus Rodhammar

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alexandru Ungureanu (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Motta (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jesper Lindström (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tim Coates (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Vladimir Del Valle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Lasse Hansen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.10
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.41
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.55
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Mikkel Hasselbalch Kristensen

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eric Edmond (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kenni Pedersen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andreas Ventzel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Bino Nolting (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Adam Hove (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.09
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.30
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.16
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Steve Andrew

dropped • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Victor Brøcker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dario Vegh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michel Hansen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Matthew Green (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jonas Müller (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.45
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.91
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Sarah Howes

dropped • 1-6-0

57%

Meta

-2.5

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Joergensen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Luca Barcella (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Olga Sørensen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Francesco Lorenzi (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Bernhard Hinna (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	30%	Win	✗	0.71	1.03
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R6	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Adrien Druart

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tomasz Buda (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kalle Kivilahti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.39
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.64
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.04
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Antti Tikkakoski

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Liam Holden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ruben Van Dessel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 75:25

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Sandén (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.18
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.35
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.21
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Simone Paterniti

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Sommer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Julia Brown (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Christian Sørup Jensen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Victor Brøcker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.18
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.65
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.88
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Jakub Nowicki

dropped • 2-3-1

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Kasper Honkanen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Otso Somerla (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Emil Lohse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Juho Hälli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Draw	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.84
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.04
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Dmitri Sidorenko

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mads Bergenstoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rain Ööpik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Wiktor Woźniak (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Joergensen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Fabrizio Cenacchi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.16
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Benjamin Van donkelaar

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs enzo costa (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Karl Vilhem Pulk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christoffer Lillerøj (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ben Emmanuel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nicolas Heiden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.75
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.76
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Jan Eid

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Viet Pham (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Aleksandr Sevostjanovic (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 75:25

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.17
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Kai Martin

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jyry Soinio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.15
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.95
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Walter Heidelberger

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Martin Kristoffersson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Florian Höflmair (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jordy Pereira (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs David Kuric (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.84
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.33
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Marcus Karlsson

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Richard Carr (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Kuric (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Frédéric Marigo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Erasmus Stenskilde (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Albert Schütt

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kristaps Dubults (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Steffen Bauer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Artis Ivanovs

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joakim Gustafsson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Johannes Kuhmann (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Christopher Dührkop

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kalle Kivilahti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Adrian Fjell (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Martin Andreasson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.54

Daniel Brockhage

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Maximilian Stabenow (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tobias Pechnig (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Rene Gropp (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Rene Lorentsen

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Conor Rourke (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Olga Sørensen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Erasmus Stenskilde (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Sven Pavlek

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Valentin Soloviev (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Parry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.