Calling: Copenhagen 2025 - Vynnset, Iron Maiden (CC)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Juho Hälli

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tobias Neller (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Florian Schmidt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Pol Pérez (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 40:60

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Italo Molina (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55

80:20

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs David Andersson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 80:20

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.54
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.98
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.33

Finlay Freir

dropped • 1-3-0

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sven Pavlek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Magnusson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.28
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Arthur Hokkanen

dropped • 0-3-0

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jan Schweder (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Thomas G Jud

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Marius Beuth (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.