Puffin, Hightail
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-3-1
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jordy Pereira (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Antti Tikkakoski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jesper Lindström (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs James Goode-Hamy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Kristensen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 25:75
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jan Eid (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fábián Demeter (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Win vs Henry Wiesner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Stanislau Chykileuski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Teo Rutisson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Liam Canning (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 22:78
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Juha-Antti Kurttila (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bo Skarvil (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Win vs Theodosis Pafitis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Adam Urban (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Markus Reichhart (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emil Lohse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Walter Heidelberger (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Frédéric Marigo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Theodosis Pafitis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Paul Beese (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Panayot Andreev (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Round 2: Win vs Jack Green (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lewis Day (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.