Jarl Vetreiði
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-2-1
77%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Laura Nielsen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Plamen Kutinchev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Arnaud Thenevin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hanno Lünser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lari Lampainen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Daniel Mulato (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Simone Rainaldi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Wojciech Ruciński (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Thomas Sandén (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Draw |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
13th • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Neseyif-Deakin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63
Round 4: Win vs Cato DIrdal (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sami Belkhorfi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dziugas Skrupskelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Juha Saarnilampi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Rain Ööpik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
Round 2: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Johnny Vretlind (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jaran Ødegaard Sørensen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Andreas Ventzel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Draw |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs David Chirulescu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lasse Hansen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
Round 4: Win vs Francesco Motta (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Laura Nielsen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Anders Andersen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Eliassen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Frédéric Marigo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ruben Exposito (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kalle Kivilahti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Oosterveen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs nino Zimmermann (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Piotr Siewko (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aleksandr Sevostjanovic (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Joergensen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mark Zussev (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bernhard Hinna (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joakim Gustafsson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Loss vs Rob Thoen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mehdy Draoui (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Steve Andrew (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Markus Reichhart (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Frédéric Marigo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.