Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at Calling: Copenhagen 2025
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Artis Ivanovs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fredrik Mecklin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Win vs Jonas Müller (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75
Round 6: Win vs Simone Quartieri (Dash I/O) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Christoffer Lillerøj (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marc Schuba (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75
Round 3: Win vs Rene Lorentsen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marvin Heusinger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76
Round 5: Win vs Sarah Howes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 69:31
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jaran Ødegaard Sørensen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emil Spangenberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Jan Ripa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Javier Querol (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76
Round 5: Win vs Mads Rosenkrands Kaasing (Dash I/O) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Piotr Siewko (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 22:78
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Loay Achmasiewicz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrius Pečiulis (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fredrik Mecklin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Fábián Demeter (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sebastian Niedzielec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
14%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Felix Elias (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Erik Gjone (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Marc Schuba (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 18:82
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mantas Banevicius (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Balint Herendi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 0-6-0
17%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Arnaud Thenevin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 17:83
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonas Müller (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rene Lorentsen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marcus Karlsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 29:71
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bernd Nielsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.