Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at Calling: Copenhagen 2025
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.9
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dziugas Skrupskelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 21:79
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 21:79
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Zussev (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patryk Wasielewski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 31:69
Round 6: Win vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kristaps Štils (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Kuric (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tommaso Ariatti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arnaud Thenevin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Felix Elias (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 21:79
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.8
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 21:79
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joost Verburg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 70:30
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Teo Rutisson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mads Bergenstoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Francesco Lorenzi (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Kristensen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Henry Wiesner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luca Barcella (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Wessel Groot (Dash I/O) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 21:79
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrei Joghiu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Loay Achmasiewicz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
75%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Jean Luka Zorko (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 21:79
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Oosterveen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Igor Đekić (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Draw |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs August Rokkanen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joakim Gustafsson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 26:74
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Phil Mead (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs George Rodger (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.