Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.8
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dziugas Skrupskelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Zussev (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patryk Wasielewski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
Round 6: Win vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kristaps Štils (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
Round 2: Win vs David Kuric (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tommaso Ariatti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arnaud Thenevin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 27:73
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Felix Elias (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joost Verburg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Teo Rutisson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mads Bergenstoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Francesco Lorenzi (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Kristensen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Round 7: Win vs Henry Wiesner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luca Barcella (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Wessel Groot (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Round 4: Loss vs Andrei Joghiu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Loay Achmasiewicz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Jean Luka Zorko (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Oosterveen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
Round 3: Loss vs Igor Đekić (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Draw |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs August Rokkanen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joakim Gustafsson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 18:82
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Phil Mead (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs George Rodger (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.