Ira, Scarlet Revenger
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
23rd • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
5.5
Surp
5.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs George Rodger (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Antonio Briola (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Ziegler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Andersson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
Round 6: Win vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Simone Rainaldi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 51:49
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Emil Spangenberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
34th • 8-4-0
33%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alfie Thomasson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Jud (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Oliver Spapens (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Thomas Sandén (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ugnius Švedas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
58th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.3
Surp
2.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rene Lorentsen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicolas Ziegler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Richard Schröder (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Eliassen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Johannes Warming (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
Round 12: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
61st • 7-5-0
25%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jakub Bystřický (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Rene Gropp (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Vilma Varismaa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mads Bergenstoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jyry Soinio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tim McCarthy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Anders Andersen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Rain Ööpik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Lari Lampainen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
25% (3/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hanno Lünser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dziugas Skrupskelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Laura Nielsen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Andersson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Eliassen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Malyk Höfle (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 78:22
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rain Ööpik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jesper Lindström (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Loss vs Tobias Pechnig (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mads Pedersen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Julia Brown (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonas Müller (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
Round 6: Win vs Marcel Rosenfeld (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alberto Di Blasi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Enki Dupaquier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Malyk Höfle (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 78:22
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Sandén (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tommaso Ariatti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Steffen Bauer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fabian Groß (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Frederik Damholt Hansen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adrian Fjell (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dmitri Sidorenko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucien Whitman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anders Andersen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrius Pečiulis (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Florian Vanclaire (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Francesco Lorenzi (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Frédéric Marigo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastian Niedzielec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thore Ladicke (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Win vs damien herlin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gust Boelaert (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Vilma Varismaa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mark Zussev (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ben Lux (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs René Schep (Dash I/O) - Expected: 51:49
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Heiden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dennis Fröberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs David Andersson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tobias Neller (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bernhard Hinna (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonas Stoberock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Magnusson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Giannis Koumidis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Georgi Lazarov (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vladimir Del Valle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andreas Ventzel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Plamen Kutinchev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ugnius Švedas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Max Löhe (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Loss vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ben Emmanuel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Peter Søndergaard Hald (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jan Ripa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anders Andersen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Johannes Kuhmann (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Balint Herendi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christoffer Lillerøj (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.