Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
29 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-3-0
92%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
6.6
Surp
4.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Bonde (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Declan Patrick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Wojciech Ruciński (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Juan Chacon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Round 13: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
92% (12/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
19th • 9-3-0
75%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Urban (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adrien Druart (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Lux (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mario Donoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Declan Patrick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alexander Reichhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Artur Wysocki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Lucas Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Arthur Nijssen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
38th • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vilhelmas Rudys (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul Beese (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Artur Wysocki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Round 8: Loss vs Lari Lampainen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Alexander Reichhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Simone Rainaldi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matthew Brown (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
40th • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michel Hansen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lewis Day (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adrián Marín (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eric Edmond (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tim McCarthy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Anders Andersen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Daniel Eliassen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
49th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
6.3
Surp
3.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tim Coates (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Olli Saarinen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs George Jones (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rain Ööpik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Eric Edmond (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Andrei Joghiu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 6-4-0
70%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ugnius Švedas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Linus Rodhammar (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Chang Li (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Wessel Groot (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rain Ööpik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lari Lampainen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Round 3: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Theodosis Pafitis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Martin Andreasson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steve Andrew (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tommaso Ariatti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kasper Honkanen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lasse Hansen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bartłomiej Michalak (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chang Li (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tobias Reincke (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Bonde (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bernd Nielsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Italo Molina (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fabian Groß (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Johnny Vretlind (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christopher Reyes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27
Round 7: Loss vs Tobias Pechnig (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bernd Nielsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Hove (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Piotr Siewko (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Chirulescu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Javier Querol (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Linus Rodhammar (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Green (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ruben Van Dessel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kit Valentine (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Peter Søndergaard Hald (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Dührkop (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Loss vs Alberto Di Blasi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adrien Druart (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Antonio Briola (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Pol Pérez (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marc Schuba (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs George Jones (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Felix Elias (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Vaz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 7: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dmitri Sidorenko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cato DIrdal (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joel Rencen (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Markus Reichhart (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs August Rokkanen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Loay Achmasiewicz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stanislau Chykileuski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mads Bergenstoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michel Hansen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Malyk Höfle (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Francesco Lorenzi (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 85:15
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tobias Reincke (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tim Heibrok (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sarah Howes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jack Green (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
Round 4: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniele Coppola (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Valentin Soloviev (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bernd Nielsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bernhard Hinna (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rene Gropp (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Martin Kristoffersson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Henry Wiesner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Richard Schröder (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
Round 7: Loss vs Andrius Pečiulis (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Loss vs Shahin Ghorbani azad (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Antonio Briola (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marcus Karlsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jordy Pereira (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michel Westermann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michel Hansen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexandru Ungureanu (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marvin Heusinger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simone Rainaldi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Green (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mehdy Draoui (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jesper Lindström (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nikita Laasmaa (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taimo Paavola (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jon Holm Thomsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Florian Vanclaire (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michel Westermann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Sandén (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcus Karlsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michel Westermann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Walter Heidelberger (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Loss vs Mario Donoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Finn Baird (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Lux (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taimo Paavola (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Oosterveen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kit Valentine (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jon Holm Thomsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Mayr (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrea Migliavacca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Christian Sørup Jensen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dave Kerr (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Loss vs Dziugas Skrupskelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gust Boelaert (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Zussev (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.