Valda, Seismic Impact
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fredrik Mecklin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gaál Benjamin (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tobias Neller (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 21:79
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Vilhelmas Rudys (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Neseyif-Deakin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Reichhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Oliver Spapens (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 17:83
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alfie Thomasson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
Round 6: Win vs Andreas Stjernfelt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Linus Albat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dario Vegh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Dührkop (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Roar Nesheim (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Green (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
dropped • 1-6-0
29%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Izac Gale (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexandru Ungureanu (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Axel Gay (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Stanislau Chykileuski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 21:79
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs damien herlin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rickard Ekermann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Plamen Kutinchev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 17:83
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.