Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-5-0
14%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kit Valentine (Dash I/O) - Expected: 36:64
10:90
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vilhelmas Rudys (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 8:92
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dave Kerr (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 32:68
Round 4: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jan Eid (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Henry Wiesner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 26:74
Round 7: Win vs Joost Verburg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 10% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
dropped • 1-6-0
71%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Steffen Bauer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bernhard Hinna (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bernd Nielsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 32:68
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Martin Andreasson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs enzo costa (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 82:18
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bino Nolting (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marcel Rosenfeld (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Bonde (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs nino Zimmermann (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Linn (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.