Verdance, Thorn of the Rose at Calling: Copenhagen 2025
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
21 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
11th • 9-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arthur Hokkanen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andreas Ventzel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marcel Rosenfeld (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 82:18
Round 5: Win vs Richard Carr (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brent Van de Staey (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
Round 8: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
80:20
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Erika Forslöf (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 82:18
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Fredrik Fagerberg (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Arthur Nijssen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
36th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Taimo Paavola (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kit Valentine (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rikard Wallström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 69:31
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Johnny Vretlind (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 83:17
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maximilian Stabenow (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Richard Schröder (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Laura Nielsen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs August Rokkanen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
57th • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Kristensen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Urban (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fabian Groß (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pawel Urbaniak (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Round 10: Win vs Dziugas Skrupskelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Johannes Warming (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
68th • 6-6-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
5.8
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kristaps Dubults (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mads Rosenkrands Kaasing (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Javier Querol (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Round 6: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bino Nolting (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tim Heibrok (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (6.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-5-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Gints Dreimanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fabrizio Cenacchi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Laura Nielsen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 82:18
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Rain Ööpik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
50% (5/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-2
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bartłomiej Michalak (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Goode-Hamy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stanislau Chykileuski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Magnusson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Linus Rodhammar (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Finn Baird (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Draw |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Draw |
dropped • 4-2-1
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fredrik Bill (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Piotr Siewko (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mikkel Hasselbalch Kristensen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Pablo Pintor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Draw |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Hove (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christoffer Lillerøj (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Theodosis Pafitis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Igor Đekić (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Wiktor Woźniak (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Round 7: Loss vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fábián Demeter (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Hove (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anders Andersen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andreas Ventzel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Vilhelmas Rudys (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Dührkop (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Max Harudd Segerstein (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kai Martin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Loss vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Frederik Pedersen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tobias Reincke (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Kristensen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Edmond (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nathaniel Payne (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Loss vs enzo costa (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jan Schweder (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 82:18
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Panayot Andreev (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mehdy Draoui (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Max Harudd Segerstein (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs George Jones (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jakub Bystřický (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 82:18
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Artis Ivanovs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Florian Schmidt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Loss vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Andersson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Fábián Demeter (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs René Schep (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Liam Canning (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Round 3: Win vs Luca Barcella (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jan Schweder (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 82:18
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ruben Exposito (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Balint Herendi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-2.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Alexej Vollmer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jan Ripa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Loss vs Aleksandr Sevostjanovic (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Florian Höflmair (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 74:26
Round 7: Loss vs Joel Rencen (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wessel Groot (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathaniel Payne (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Loss vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Artis Ivanovs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marc Schuba (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Frederik Pedersen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maximilian Stabenow (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Florian Höflmair (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Round 4: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christoffer Lillerøj (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonas Müller (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Henrik Kaldahl (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 83:17
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 85% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andreas Stjernfelt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 83:17
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucien Whitman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Loss vs Andrei Joghiu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Viet Pham (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alfie Thomasson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Simone Paterniti (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucien Whitman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christoffer Lillerøj (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Valentin Soloviev (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Andersson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Loss vs Kamil Grodecki (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.