Kassai of the Golden Sand at Calling: Copenhagen 2025

Kassai of the Golden Sand

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Vincent Weinzierl

56th • 7-5-0

50%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

5.3

Surp

2.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bo Skarvil (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniele Coppola (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Frederik Pedersen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ha-Lim Chang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Wiktor Woźniak (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (6/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.06
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.13
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.24
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.45
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.44
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.81
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.70
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Thilo Focke

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Phil Mead (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daniele Coppola (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Victor Brøcker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alberto Di Blasi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Italo Molina (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.22
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.33
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

Jack Green

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Johannes Warming (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Felix Elias (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Rikard Wallström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.18
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Kasper Honkanen

dropped • 0-3-1

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dennis Fröberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tommaso Ariatti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Emil Lohse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Draw	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Izac Gale

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Henrik Kaldahl (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Eliassen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.21
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.