Arakni, Marionette at Calling: Copenhagen 2025
Arakni, Marionette
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fredrik Bill (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Markus Reichhart (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam West (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Wojciech Ruciński (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Thore Ladicke (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Thomas Sandén (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
21st • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Antonio Briola (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Olli Saarinen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dario Vegh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Johannes Warming (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Wiktor Woźniak (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Andrei Joghiu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Anders Andersen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
30th • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.9
Surp
4.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jaran Ødegaard Sørensen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Otso Somerla (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
Round 4: Loss vs Igor Đekić (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Linus Albat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Wojciech Ruciński (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ha-Lim Chang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Juha-Antti Kurttila (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ben Lux (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Olga Sørensen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Linus Albat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Goode-Hamy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Igor Đekić (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arthur Nijssen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simone Paterniti (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mikael Vedemar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emil Spangenberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Magnusson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam West (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs René Schep (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gust Boelaert (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Reichhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Henrik Kaldahl (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mantas Banevicius (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Round 6: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Italo Molina (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kasper Honkanen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Vong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Chirulescu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dario Vegh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Oliver Spapens (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Theodosis Pafitis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Otso Somerla (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dave Kerr (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Rene Gropp (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Zussev (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alberto Di Blasi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maximilian Stabenow (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 58:42
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Jud (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mads Bergenstoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Olga Sørensen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
Round 3: Loss vs Panayot Andreev (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Plamen Kutinchev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Win vs Johannes Kuhmann (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kalle Kivilahti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cato DIrdal (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Johnny Vretlind (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marc Schuba (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Fredrik Bill (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sami Belkhorfi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dziugas Skrupskelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andreas Stjernfelt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mathew Davies (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Ziegler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Malyk Höfle (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jordy Pereira (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rene Lorentsen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Parry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lari Lampainen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Simone Rainaldi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Thilo Focke (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Axel Gay (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Bystřický (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.