Arakni, Marionette
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 9-3-0
92%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fredrik Bill (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Markus Reichhart (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam West (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Wojciech Ruciński (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Thore Ladicke (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Thomas Sandén (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Round 12: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
21st • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Antonio Briola (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Olli Saarinen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Round 5: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dario Vegh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Johannes Warming (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Wiktor Woźniak (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Andrei Joghiu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Anders Andersen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
30th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
6.3
Surp
4.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jaran Ødegaard Sørensen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Otso Somerla (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Loss vs Igor Đekić (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Linus Albat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Wojciech Ruciński (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
Round 12: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Loss vs Ha-Lim Chang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Juha-Antti Kurttila (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ben Lux (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
Round 8: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Olga Sørensen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Linus Albat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Goode-Hamy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Round 5: Loss vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Igor Đekić (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arthur Nijssen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simone Paterniti (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mikael Vedemar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emil Spangenberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Magnusson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam West (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs René Schep (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gust Boelaert (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Reichhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Henrik Kaldahl (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mantas Banevicius (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Round 6: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Italo Molina (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kasper Honkanen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Vong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Chirulescu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dario Vegh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Oliver Spapens (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Theodosis Pafitis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Otso Somerla (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dave Kerr (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Round 6: Loss vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Rene Gropp (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Zussev (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alberto Di Blasi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Loss vs Maximilian Stabenow (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Jud (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mads Bergenstoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Olga Sørensen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Panayot Andreev (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Plamen Kutinchev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Johannes Kuhmann (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kalle Kivilahti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cato DIrdal (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Loss vs Johnny Vretlind (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marc Schuba (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Fredrik Bill (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sami Belkhorfi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dziugas Skrupskelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andreas Stjernfelt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mathew Davies (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Ziegler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Loss vs Malyk Höfle (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jordy Pereira (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rene Lorentsen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Parry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lari Lampainen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Simone Rainaldi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Thilo Focke (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Axel Gay (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Bystřický (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.