Calling: Copenhagen 2025 - Rhinar, Reckless Rampage (CC)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Maximilian Stabenow

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs damien herlin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Brockhage (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rickard Ekermann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Loay Achmasiewicz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lucas Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.12
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.55
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.77
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.62
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Frederik Pedersen

dropped • 3-4-0

29%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs David Vong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Johannes Kuhmann (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.18
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.47
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.87

Kristaps Dubults

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Albert Schütt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Green (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.