Prism, Awakener of Sol
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 9-3-0
75%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marc Schuba (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pol Pérez (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 88:12
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rain Ööpik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Round 5: Win vs Tobias Reincke (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Brown (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
Round 7: Win vs Eric Edmond (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tim Coates (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
Round 12: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
15th • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erika Forslöf (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Viet Pham (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
Round 6: Win vs Maximilian Stabenow (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Andrea Migliavacca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
90:10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Gaál Benjamin (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 88:12
Round 11: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 90% | Win |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tobias Reincke (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Petrone (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Kristensen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jan Ripa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ha-Lim Chang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marc Nielsen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sebastian Linn (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Urban (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joakim Gustafsson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Juho Hälli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jyry Soinio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Roar Nesheim (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Fábián Demeter (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sarah Howes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Markus Reichhart (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs George Jones (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Oosterveen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Olga Sørensen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bernd Nielsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 63:37
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Reyes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Chang Li (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Johannes Warming (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Loss vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Neseyif-Deakin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Loss vs Kenni Pedersen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.