Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

47th 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 59:41
Kassai of the Golden Sand
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thilo Focke (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 83:17
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tobias Reincke (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gabe Sher (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 20:80
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
Kano, Dracai of Aether
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Anders Andersen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Kassai of the Golden Sand
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 83:17
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Arthur Nijssen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 20:80
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 20:80
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
dropped 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Coates (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erasmus Stenskilde (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 83:17
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Johannes Kuhmann (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 20:80
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joakim Gustafsson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, Marionette
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 77:23
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
dropped 0-5-0
20%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Goode-Hamy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 20:80
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs damien herlin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Walter Heidelberger (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Karlin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Henry Wiesner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.