Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
3 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
47th • 7-5-0
42%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thilo Focke (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tobias Reincke (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gabe Sher (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76
Round 6: Win vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Anders Andersen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 14:86
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Arthur Nijssen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 62:38
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Coates (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erasmus Stenskilde (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 74:26
Round 3: Win vs Johannes Kuhmann (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76
Round 5: Win vs Joakim Gustafsson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
Round 7: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
20%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Goode-Hamy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs damien herlin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
Round 3: Loss vs Walter Heidelberger (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Karlin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Henry Wiesner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.