Kano, Dracai of Aether
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
17th • 9-3-0
17%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
5.9
Surp
5.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Albert Schütt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marc Lanigra (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
10:90
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 12:88
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matthew Brown (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Andrea Migliavacca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
17% (2/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 10% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
28th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.8
Surp
2.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathaniel Payne (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patryk Wasielewski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Piotr Siewko (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bino Nolting (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Pawel Urbaniak (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 64:36
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 86:14
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs August Rokkanen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Gabe Sher (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
46th • 7-5-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Ward (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 79:21
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sami Belkhorfi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Francesco Motta (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 79:21
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 85:15
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Martin Bergström (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tim Coates (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marc Lanigra (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thore Ladicke (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rain Ööpik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Green (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Martin Kristoffersson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Antonio Briola (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Max Schmidt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dziugas Skrupskelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simone Quartieri (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
10:90
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 12:88
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Juho Hälli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Reichhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kalle Kivilahti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 10% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Ziegler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Viet Pham (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vilma Varismaa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.