Kano, Dracai of Aether

Kano, Dracai of Aether

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

17th 9-3-0
75%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.8
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Albert Schütt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Valda, Seismic Impact
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marc Lanigra (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Dash I/O
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Prism, Awakener of Sol
15:85
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matthew Brown (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Dash I/O
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Andrea Migliavacca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
28th 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.2
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathaniel Payne (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patryk Wasielewski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Piotr Siewko (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bino Nolting (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Jarl Vetreiði
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Pawel Urbaniak (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs August Rokkanen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
Dash I/O
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Gabe Sher (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
46th 7-5-0
83%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
5.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Ward (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Dash I/O
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sami Belkhorfi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Fang, Dracai of Blades
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Francesco Motta (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 84:16
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Dorinthea Ironsong
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
dropped 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Martin Bergström (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tim Coates (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marc Lanigra (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thore Ladicke (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
dropped 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rain Ööpik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Green (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Martin Kristoffersson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Jarl Vetreiði
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Antonio Briola (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Max Schmidt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dziugas Skrupskelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
dropped 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
Dash I/O
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simone Quartieri (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
Prism, Awakener of Sol
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Juho Hälli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Reichhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kalle Kivilahti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
dropped 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Ziegler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Viet Pham (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vilma Varismaa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.