Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Copenhagen 2025
Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
18th • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Win vs Teo Rutisson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Florian Schmidt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adrián Marín (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
Round 5: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Andrea Migliavacca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.