Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
29 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 13-2-0
67%
Meta
+5.2
Perf
7.3
Surp
6.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matt Schubert (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Loss vs Wyatt Schmitt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Anemone Chamlin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jeremiah Oldes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Justin Lenaghan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 10: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Tariq Patel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Victor Mercado (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
67% (10/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+5.2 Wins (7.8 expected, 13 actual)
Surprise
7.3 total deviation
Difficulty
6.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
3rd • 11-3-0
57%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
6.3
Surp
5.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Zapata (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs james Hohn (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Silverman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
100:0
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Scott Khuu (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 100:0
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Myles Rightmire (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jason Woodland (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Garrett Kent (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jordan Long (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Matthew Harris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Wyatt Schmitt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
Round 13: Win vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (8/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (7.8 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 100% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
5th • 9-4-0
69%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Lenaghan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Betsy COCHRAN (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 73:27
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matthew Harris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Sadat Minick (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Wyatt Schmitt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
Round 11: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Round 13: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
11th • 9-3-0
50%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Noah Rolf (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rob Linn (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andy Hong (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kenny Tran (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyson Au (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Anthony Ambrose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sam Cameron (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Travis Spicer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jacob Neet (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 72:28
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs james Hohn (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
21st • 9-3-0
33%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Reese Toomre (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Voghell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Roark (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 78:22
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sam Cameron (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Travis Spicer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 10: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matthew Harris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
47th • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
5.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Corwin Benton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Casey Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
Round 3: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Nash (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Kissel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joshua Sitton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Eric Keilback (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sadat Minick (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
49th • 7-5-0
42%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Olsen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 72:28
Round 2: Win vs Case Finlay (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kieth Seith (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Salmon (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andy Hong (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 74:26
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Eric Keilback (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tyler Biggs (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 7-4-0
64%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.2
Surp
2.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Isaac Johnson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Win vs Aurora Kynkor (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aaron Nash (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mint Carroll (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jeremiah Oldes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sam Cameron (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62
Round 11: Loss vs Casey Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eli Teed (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
Round 2: Loss vs Wyatt Schmitt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Mitchell Woodland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tommy Garnett (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs John Zapata (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Huynh (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
Round 8: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Loss |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cole Noblitt (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Odenheimer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Garrett Kent (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Oren Yishai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jordan Long (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Richard Kerns (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nick Tiller (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 72:28
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Kindberg (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Cooper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Angus Mathieson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Micheal Thompson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Richard Kim (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Legesse (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tabitha Stehman (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
Round 6: Win vs Case Finlay (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
100:0
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Scott Khuu (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 100:0
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Cooper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Padlesky (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs MOISES LOPEZ (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Catherine Levine (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zach Nichols (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 100% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
29%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Emily Mcmillan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brody Lewis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Antonio Otero (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs William Cavanagh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Martin Van Order (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jake O'Quinn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Troy Benton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Draw |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Zayne Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Moes (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dion Orcutt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 72:28
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Samuel Rogers (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 92:8
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Alan Valdez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Gannon (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Deschamps (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cody Thomas (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Loss vs STEVEN HAWKER (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Raj Giri (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jake O'Quinn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Hajarizadeh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs Hudson Davis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Rob Harechmak (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daryoosh Entrikin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brian Baker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs aiden anable (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 7: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Stammer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John-David Cottrell (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chase Reiser (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 72:28
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Milner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nick Tiller (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brody Lewis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rob Linn (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake Denning (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35
Round 4: Win vs Aurora Kynkor (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hudson Davis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rob Harechmak (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Stevenson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Catherine Levine (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Austin Hughes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sam Tsafalas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Groat (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tommy Garnett (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Austin Hughes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ariel Struble (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Darren Knopes (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Silverman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Leblanc (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carson Osborne (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew zickler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Stevenson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40
Round 6: Loss vs Chase Osborne (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Wyatt Schmitt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zyrone Powell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs George Chew (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jake O'Quinn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
Round 5: Loss vs Cary Young (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joe Ellis (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake O'Quinn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Woodland (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Biggs (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Beehler (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 72:28
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Colin Marshall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Samuel Adams (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zach Nichols (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sadat Minick (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Johnson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dean Carr (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Keilback (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maxwell Taylor (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Yaksich (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs aiden anable (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Chang (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Canales (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs jordan johnson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.