Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry at Calling: Portland 2024 - The 50th! - Classic Constructed
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
29 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 13-2-0
60%
Meta
+5.4
Perf
7.5
Surp
7.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matt Schubert (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wyatt Schmitt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Anemone Chamlin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jeremiah Oldes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Justin Lenaghan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 10: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Tariq Patel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Victor Mercado (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
60% (9/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+5.4 Wins (7.6 expected, 13 actual)
Surprise
7.5 total deviation
Difficulty
7.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
3rd • 11-3-0
57%
Meta
+3.9
Perf
6.9
Surp
6.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Zapata (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs james Hohn (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Silverman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Scott Khuu (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Myles Rightmire (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jason Woodland (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Garrett Kent (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jordan Long (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Matthew Harris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Wyatt Schmitt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
Round 13: Win vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (8/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
6.9 total deviation
Difficulty
6.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
5th • 9-4-0
62%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Lenaghan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Betsy COCHRAN (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matthew Harris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Sadat Minick (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Wyatt Schmitt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
11th • 9-3-0
42%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Noah Rolf (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rob Linn (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andy Hong (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kenny Tran (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyson Au (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Anthony Ambrose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sam Cameron (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Travis Spicer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jacob Neet (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 68:32
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs james Hohn (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
21st • 9-3-0
33%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
5.8
Surp
5.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Reese Toomre (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Voghell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Roark (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 80:20
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sam Cameron (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Travis Spicer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 10: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matthew Harris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
47th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
5.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Corwin Benton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Casey Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
Round 3: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Nash (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Kissel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joshua Sitton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Eric Keilback (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sadat Minick (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
49th • 7-5-0
42%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.8
Surp
2.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Olsen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 68:32
Round 2: Win vs Case Finlay (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kieth Seith (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Salmon (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andy Hong (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Eric Keilback (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tyler Biggs (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 7-4-0
45%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Isaac Johnson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Aurora Kynkor (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aaron Nash (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mint Carroll (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jeremiah Oldes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sam Cameron (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
Round 11: Loss vs Casey Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eli Teed (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wyatt Schmitt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Mitchell Woodland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tommy Garnett (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs John Zapata (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Huynh (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
Round 8: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cole Noblitt (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Odenheimer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Garrett Kent (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Oren Yishai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jordan Long (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Richard Kerns (Unknown)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nick Tiller (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Kindberg (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Cooper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Angus Mathieson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Micheal Thompson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Richard Kim (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Legesse (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tabitha Stehman (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
Round 6: Win vs Case Finlay (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Scott Khuu (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Cooper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Padlesky (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs MOISES LOPEZ (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Catherine Levine (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zach Nichols (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
29%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Emily Mcmillan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brody Lewis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Antonio Otero (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs William Cavanagh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 78:22
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Martin Van Order (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jake O'Quinn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Troy Benton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 80% | Draw |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zayne Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Moes (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dion Orcutt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 68:32
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Samuel Rogers (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Alan Valdez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Gannon (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Deschamps (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cody Thomas (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Loss vs STEVEN HAWKER (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Raj Giri (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jake O'Quinn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Hajarizadeh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hudson Davis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rob Harechmak (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daryoosh Entrikin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brian Baker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs aiden anable (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 7: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Stammer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John-David Cottrell (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chase Reiser (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Milner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nick Tiller (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brody Lewis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rob Linn (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake Denning (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Aurora Kynkor (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hudson Davis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rob Harechmak (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Stevenson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Catherine Levine (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Austin Hughes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sam Tsafalas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Groat (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tommy Garnett (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Austin Hughes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ariel Struble (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Darren Knopes (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Silverman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Leblanc (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carson Osborne (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew zickler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Stevenson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chase Osborne (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wyatt Schmitt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zyrone Powell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs George Chew (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jake O'Quinn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
Round 5: Loss vs Cary Young (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joe Ellis (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake O'Quinn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Woodland (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Biggs (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Beehler (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Colin Marshall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Samuel Adams (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zach Nichols (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sadat Minick (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Johnson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dean Carr (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Keilback (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maxwell Taylor (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Yaksich (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs aiden anable (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Chang (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Canales (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs jordan johnson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.