Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at Calling: Portland 2024 - The 50th! - Classic Constructed
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
57th • 7-5-0
33%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.8
Surp
5.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeremiah Justice (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Milner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zayne Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Stevenson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Dane Wright (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Garrett Kent (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Allan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
Round 10: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Round 11: Win vs Norah Porter (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Justin Lenaghan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 6-5-0
9%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Dane Wright (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Canales (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyson Au (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Round 6: Win vs Ben Odenheimer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brandon Moes (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 41:59
Round 8: Win vs Andy Hong (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs CODY READY (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jordan Long (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
9% (1/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Trossman (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eli Fucile (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Lin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Rolf (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Adam Hamilton-Sutherland (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jayson Galindo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Travis Spicer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
Round 2: Win vs Skylar Waidhofer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Rolf (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
Round 4: Win vs Isaac Loren (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Hamilton-Sutherland (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Voghell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Juan Flores (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jason Woodland (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Bruner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
Round 4: Win vs Simon Wonser (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sadat Minick (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Newton Cheng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs George Norton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Archer Taylor (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Colt Hailey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs james Hoenstine (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Nennich (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ian Campbell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Markus Withakay (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Manu Sankepally (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kenneth Justin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Brooks (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Garcia (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gabriel Nichols (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Archer Taylor (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Fraser (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kenneth Justin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Legesse (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Phillip Sipe (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
0.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ben Odenheimer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (0.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.