Calling: Portland 2024 - The 50th! - Classic Constructed - Levia, Shadowborn Abomination (CC)

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Brody Lewis

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.3

Surp

3.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nate Stratton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kyle James (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Roark (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ben Odenheimer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Joseph Gannon (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Tim Chambers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.11
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.29
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	25%	Win	✗	0.77	1.80
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.02

Jesse Kennon

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chris Garcia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Eric Ting-jui Hsu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jacob Kindberg (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Alex Fraser (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Nathan Dollman (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.66
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.80
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.00
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.68

Eric Lin

dropped • 2-5-0

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs ALEXANDER HAYDEN (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dion Orcutt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jaina Benton (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Juan Flores (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 39:61

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Leblanc (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Emily Mcmillan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

0% (0/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.48
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.07
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Jonathan Trossman

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ariel Struble (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Juan Flores (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Scott Khuu (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Darren Knopes (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 23:77

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.69
R3	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.