Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Portland 2024 - The 50th! - Classic Constructed
Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-6-0
100%
Meta
-2.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Odin Boseth (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremiah Justice (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Lin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Walle (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Troy Benton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Zyrone Powell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gabriel Nichols (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.