Azalea, Ace in the Hole
26 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-3-0
69%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
6.7
Surp
5.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dion Orcutt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremiah Oldes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Tiu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cory Schmitt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Morrison (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kenny Tran (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tommy Garnett (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Devon Porcher (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs CODY READY (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
23rd • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
5.9
Surp
5.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs james Hohn (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zach Nichols (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Ting-jui Hsu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Majin Bae (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Avery Smith (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jordan Long (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Philip Parker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Angel Fernandez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Sam Cameron (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
42nd • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Meyers (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Corwin Benton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Fraser (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shimon Bandiel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs ALEXANDER HAYDEN (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs sean Burke (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Micheal Thompson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
65th • 6-6-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
5.8
Surp
2.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Colt Hailey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jaina Benton (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Robinson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
Round 5: Win vs Nate Stratton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joseph Elsey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Clay DeAngelis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
67th • 6-6-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
6.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mychael Gochee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Meyers (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mitchell Woodland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lee Kimball (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joshua Sitton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Colt Hailey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Anthony Ambrose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jeremiah Oldes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-5-0
90%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
4.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs james Hoenstine (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sam Tsafalas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Keilback (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tariq Patel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joshua Frailey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jason Watkins (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jeremiah Oldes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
90% (9/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brishen Jaimes (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Newton Cheng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle James (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Loss vs Xavier Hines (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Tiu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Van Order (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kieth Seith (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Archer Taylor (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noah Rolf (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nghia Tran (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Casey Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tristan Schmidt (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Colt Hailey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ynez Nevarez (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Win vs Timothy Pearse (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tim Chambers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kenneth Justin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chris Martin (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Garcia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chris Martin (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Montana Krasnov (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Grant Strom (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Travis Spicer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kieth Seith (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Newton Cheng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Nichols (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Rudin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Win vs Hayley Neighbors (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Emery Powell (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chase Osborne (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bradley Shockey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Archie Zackery (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tyler Horspool (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Amanda Sullender (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Darren Knopes (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
100%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Cochran (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Martin Cox (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs ALEXANDER HAYDEN (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Dollman (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jaina Benton (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
Round 7: Loss vs tyler kent (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Myles Rightmire (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jarrod Whitmore (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Woodland (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Wellendorf (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rob Harechmak (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Evan Rice (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Voghell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Briggs (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Padlesky (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Elsey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rob Harechmak (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Colin Marshall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Farrell (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Raj Giri (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Sitton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chase Reiser (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Schrudder (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Canales (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Amanda Sullender (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luke Putz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Rogers (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Adams (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Porter (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Porter (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raj Giri (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle Farrell (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tristin Sedlacek (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
0.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
0.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Majin Bae (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christina Maxwell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cody Thomas (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.