Prism, Awakener of Sol
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
25th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Davis Purcell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Hammond (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 87:13
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Norah Porter (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42
Round 5: Win vs John-David Cottrell (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Colin Marshall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alex Fraser (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Nick Deschamps (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
20:80
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs james Hohn (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
43rd • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Greg Urbina (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tim Chambers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dexter Canright (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Casey Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 23:77
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs John Cooper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Cory Schmitt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Chilgren (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 87:13
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Betsy COCHRAN (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 25:75
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Towne (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Grayson Fountain (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Steven Stone (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 70:30
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Hajarizadeh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 70:30
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs james Hohn (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dexter Canright (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jamen Vedova (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.