Prism, Awakener of Sol at Calling: Portland 2024 - The 50th! - Classic Constructed
Prism, Awakener of Sol
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
25th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Davis Purcell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Hammond (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 92:8
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Norah Porter (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Win vs John-David Cottrell (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Colin Marshall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alex Fraser (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Nick Deschamps (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 58:42
15:85
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs james Hohn (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 15% | Loss |
43rd • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Greg Urbina (Dash I/O) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tim Chambers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dexter Canright (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
15:85
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Casey Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 14:86
20:80
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs John Cooper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Cory Schmitt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 15% | Loss |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 20% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Chilgren (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 92:8
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Betsy COCHRAN (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Towne (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Grayson Fountain (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Steven Stone (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 79:21
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Hajarizadeh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 79:21
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs james Hohn (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dexter Canright (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jamen Vedova (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.