Nuu, Alluring Desire
37 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 13-2-0
73%
Meta
+4.9
Perf
7.0
Surp
6.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Farrell (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Emery Powell (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Fraser (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jakob Allan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Harris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Eric Keilback (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
Round 11: Win vs David Bruner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 12: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 13: Win vs David Bruner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jude Cornett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
73% (11/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.9 Wins (8.1 expected, 13 actual)
Surprise
7.0 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
19th • 9-3-0
92%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zoe Daniels (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Wellendorf (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Loss vs Philip Parker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Myles Rightmire (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Canales (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Davis Purcell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Antonio Otero (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jakob Allan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Drew Bosco (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 77:23
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
26th • 8-4-0
92%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Pham (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Evan Rice (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Kissel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs CODY READY (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Wyatt Schmitt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matthew Allan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Andy Hong (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
28th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
5.2
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs jordan johnson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sadat Minick (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jude Cornett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Clay DeAngelis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Wyatt Schmitt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs David Bruner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jeremiah Justice (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs CODY READY (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
40th • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tristin Sedlacek (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lee Kimball (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Andy Hong (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Anthony Ambrose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
58th • 7-5-0
83%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.4
Surp
2.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Timothy Pearse (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nik Dinnis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Elsey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joseph Woodland (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zayne Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Eli Teed (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Evan Silverman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
59th • 7-5-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Fanno (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Watkins (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Thomas Turnbull (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Bruner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Norah Porter (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Neet (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Majin Bae (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tyler Horspool (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
Round 9: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Nick Deschamps (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jeremiah Justice (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 75% | Loss |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cory Schmitt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Parker Pemberton (Unknown)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Chang (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ynez Nevarez (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sarath Vega (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs sean Burke (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Gannon (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Travis Spicer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joe Swelland (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Amanda Sullender (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Thomas Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs John Cooper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cary Young (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Colt Hailey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kenny Tran (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jeremiah Oldes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-2
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Juan Flores (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Grant Strom (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Andy Lindstrom (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Merrick Kemp (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dion Orcutt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eric Lin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
86%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Garcia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Kenneth Justin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emily Mcmillan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Aaron Nash (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ben Odenheimer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Draw |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs tyler kent (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carter Phan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Nathan Whitwer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremiah Oldes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jason Wellendorf (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Snow (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nick Deschamps (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Wellendorf (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Win vs Samuel Adams (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Amanda Sullender (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Powell (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zach Nichols (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
100%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Manu Sankepally (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Biggs (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eli Teed (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jake O'Quinn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jack Filiault (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Leblanc (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tegan Smerdon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Hawkinson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Scott Weaville (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Fanno (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs aiden anable (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emery Powell (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
Round 5: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maxwell Perlin (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Botchis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Nennich (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jordan Beehler (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ben Odenheimer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Antonio Otero (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs MOISES LOPEZ (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonah Freund (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Legesse (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Loss vs Betsy COCHRAN (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Voghell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Trossman (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Huynh (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Avery Smith (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Garcia (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Keilback (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 77:23
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Stammer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Jayson Galindo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyson Au (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Montana Krasnov (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hudson Davis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Darren Knopes (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Travis Spicer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Loss vs Brishen Jaimes (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Campbell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 76:24
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Nennich (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs John-David Cottrell (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-1
75%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emily Mcmillan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Blaine Pascu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Greg Urbina (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Draw |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-1
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs William Walle (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ian Scarbrough (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 77:23
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 75% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Garrett Kent (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Clayton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cole Noblitt (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Neet (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs Dexter Simmons (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs STEVEN HAWKER (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jamen Vedova (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Dollman (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zach Nichols (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Snyder (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Avery Smith (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Hamilton-Sutherland (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Irby (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Horspool (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Blake Meier (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Woodland (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John-David Cottrell (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Carter Phan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robert Mills (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Carson Osborne (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.