Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
27th • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Avery Myles (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Thomas Turnbull (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs jordan johnson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Huynh (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
Round 5: Win vs Myles Rightmire (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Casey Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
Round 11: Win vs Jakob Allan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
33rd • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jon Cardenas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sarath Vega (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Irby (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Blake Meier (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jason Wellendorf (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Cory Schmitt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
63rd • 7-5-0
33%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Avery Smith (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Toby Roberts (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
Round 5: Win vs Nathan Whitwer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Zayne Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tyler Horspool (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tyler Biggs (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs John Cooper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Maxwell (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Tiu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Phillip Sipe (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brody Lewis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
Round 6: Loss vs Philip Parker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eric Ting-jui Hsu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Nash (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zayne Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Zapata (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cole Noblitt (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Win vs Martin Cox (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Norah Porter (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs William Walle (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Billy Horn (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Cory Schmitt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Philip Parker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremiah Justice (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
14%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Troy Benton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Pham (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Elsey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matt Schubert (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs William Cavanagh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Draw |
dropped • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Lin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs AUSTIN BRILL (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Axel Sisbarro (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Kieth Seith (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joshua Frailey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Draw |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-2
86%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Padlesky (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
Round 2: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Mychael Gochee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gabriel Nichols (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eli Fucile (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Ryan Robinson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Draw |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Draw |
dropped • 2-4-1
71%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Greg Urbina (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dane Wright (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremiah Justice (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chase Reiser (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs Adam Thomas Turnbull (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Blaine Pascu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Draw |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cory Parker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Majin Bae (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hudson Davis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Groat (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Phillip Stephenson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Cooper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dane Wright (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Avery Myles (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ian Campbell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Round 6: Loss vs Rob Harechmak (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Elsey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs RAHKZIN LEO EROLIN (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tim Chambers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Grayson Fountain (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Robinson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Leblanc (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyle Farrell (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tyson Au (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nate Stratton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Frailey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs William Cavanagh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Huynh (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rob Harechmak (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Emery Powell (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Black (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Zapata (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tim Chambers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Perry (Unknown)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
Round 3: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dane Wright (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Moes (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Henry Gomez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Merrick Kemp (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs sean Burke (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Gannon (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Phillip Sipe (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Grant Strom (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dexter Simmons (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Thomas Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Myles Rightmire (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs jordan johnson (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Simon Wonser (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Win vs jaystin teets (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sam Tsafalas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Tiu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brian Baker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Campbell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Troy Benton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Skylar Waidhofer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs sean Burke (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Trevor Andrews (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs CODY READY (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nate Stratton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Jennings (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs sean Burke (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cory Parker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.