Kano, Dracai of Aether at Calling: Portland 2024 - The 50th! - Classic Constructed
Kano, Dracai of Aether
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
69th • 6-6-0
58%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
6.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Rice (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Troy Benton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Win vs Bradley Shockey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Max Parra (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Xavier Hines (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 65:35
Round 7: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tyler Biggs (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Reese Toomre (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Spencer Heaps (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
Round 12: Loss vs Garrett Kent (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs AUSTIN BRILL (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Skylar Waidhofer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robert Mills (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
90:10
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Logan McDougall (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 88:12
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Anemone Chamlin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Philip Parker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 90% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daylon Mack (Unknown)
10:90
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 8:92
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Groat (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Edmondo Mazzulli (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 77:23
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Towne (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs tyler kent (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 7: Loss vs Raj Giri (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 10% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
10:90
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 8:92
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Darren Knopes (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew zickler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 10% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.