Kano, Dracai of Aether at Calling: Portland 2024

Kano, Dracai of Aether

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Manu Sankepally

69th • 6-6-0

50%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

5.9

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Evan Rice (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Troy Benton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bradley Shockey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Max Parra (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Xavier Hines (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Tyler Biggs (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Reese Toomre (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Spencer Heaps (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Garrett Kent (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (6/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (6.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.22
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.32
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.25
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.45
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.35
R7	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R9	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R10	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.59
R11	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R12	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Brandon Moes

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs AUSTIN BRILL (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Skylar Waidhofer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Robert Mills (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59

85:15

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Logan McDougall (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 86:14

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Anemone Chamlin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Philip Parker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.56
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.74
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.16
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.93
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Ryan Hammond

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daylon Mack (Unknown)

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 13:87

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alex Groat (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Edmondo Mazzulli (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Eric Towne (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs tyler kent (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 70:30

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Raj Giri (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.28
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R6	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.45
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Daniel Chilgren

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.7

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 13:87

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Darren Knopes (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andrew zickler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.28
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.43
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.