Zen, Tamer of Purpose at Calling: Portland 2024 - The 50th! - Classic Constructed
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
31 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 11-3-0
57%
Meta
+4.3
Perf
6.5
Surp
6.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Markus Withakay (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Blake Meier (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Morrison (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Chris Martin (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
Round 7: Win vs Manu Sankepally (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sadat Minick (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Justin Lenaghan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Casey Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
Round 12: Win vs Victor Mercado (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jacob Kissel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
57% (8/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
6.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
5th • 10-3-0
69%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
6.3
Surp
4.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Irby (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chase Osborne (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Bruner (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38
Round 6: Win vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Anthony Ambrose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Sam Cameron (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Round 13: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
10th • 9-3-0
92%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Case Finlay (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathan Fortin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Canales (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jason Woodland (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs ALEXANDER HAYDEN (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Justin Salmon (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Eric Keilback (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
35th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Barnett (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daryoosh Entrikin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Farrell (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeffrey Mazar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ian Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs John Cooper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Philip Parker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
36th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
6.5
Surp
4.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jarrod Whitmore (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Win vs Jamen Vedova (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69
Round 5: Win vs Nick Deschamps (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Evan Silverman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Round 10: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 11: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Loss |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
50th • 7-5-0
75%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robert Nguyen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Merrick Kemp (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs augustine shim (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anemone Chamlin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Sitton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Wyatt Schmitt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nick Deschamps (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
52nd • 7-5-0
92%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Simon Wonser (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Westbrook (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cas Mulder (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nghia Tran (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs sean Burke (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eric Towne (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Chris Martin (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tyler Biggs (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Eli Teed (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Matthew Allan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
56th • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Myles Rightmire (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Morrison (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Micheal Thompson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Manu Sankepally (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tyler Stammer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jeremiah Justice (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
64th • 7-5-0
83%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
6.2
Surp
3.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Kolby Phelps (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brian Baker (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs John Cooper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Thomas Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nghia Tran (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Round 9: Loss vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Manu Sankepally (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Micheal Thompson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
68th • 6-6-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
5.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs jaystin teets (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremiah Justice (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Case Finlay (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Catherine Levine (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tyler Horspool (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Round 10: Loss vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Norah Porter (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (6.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-6-0
82%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
5.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Taylor Stuhr (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nick Yaksich (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mitchell Woodland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Emery Powell (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Eli Teed (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (5.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jordan Long (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nelson Lagat (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brandon Abarca (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sam Cameron (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kenneth Justin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs Matt Muus (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Adam Roark (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brett Beals (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Loss vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nathan Fortin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Hammond (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs MOISES LOPEZ (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Grayson Fountain (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Stammer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jordan Long (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Gilmore (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Evan Silverman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dion Orcutt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Antonio Otero (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Win vs James Pack (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Richard Truong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Keven Meyer (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maxwell Taylor (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nick Yaksich (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Micheal Thompson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Stevenson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Martin Van Order (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Toby Roberts (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Legesse (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs augustine shim (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Edmondo Mazzulli (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sadat Minick (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mint Carroll (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Rawlings (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Micheal Thompson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taylor Stuhr (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Lenaghan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mitchell Woodland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andy Hong (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs John Zapata (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chandler Bushnell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nick Tiller (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs William Cavanagh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Xavier Hines (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hayley Neighbors (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jarrod Whitmore (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Angus Mathieson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Botchis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dexter Canright (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Zach Nichols (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Axton Amentler (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Avery Myles (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hayley Neighbors (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Kenneth Justin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cheaman Buckwalter (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Fortin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Roark (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Oren Yishai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Thomas Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Markus Withakay (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Kindberg (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-0-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tim Chinn (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Ambrose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.