FaB-Results

Vynnset, Iron Maiden at Calling: Portland 2024 - The 50th! - Classic Constructed

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

james Hohn
16th • 9-3-0
75%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.0
Surp
3.9
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
Prism, Awakener of Sol
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Porter (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 86:14
Aurora, Shooting Star
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Morrison (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 57:43
Bravo, Showstopper
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samuel Rogers (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Viserai, Rune Blood
!
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dane Wright (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Aurora, Shooting Star
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Norah Porter (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 57:43
Aurora, Shooting Star
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Spencer Heaps (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 57:43
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Eli Teed (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
Prism, Awakener of Sol
85:15
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 86:14
Casey Russell
29th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.5
Diff
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maxwell Perlin (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cory Schmitt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eli Teed (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47
Aurora, Shooting Star
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matt Schubert (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 57:43
Kassai of the Golden Sand
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Avery Smith (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Catherine Levine (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Aurora, Shooting Star
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs sean Burke (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 57:43
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Neet (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
Prism, Awakener of Sol
85:15
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 86:14
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 49:51
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
!
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Viserai, Rune Blood
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60
Mara Faris
34th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.5
Diff
Bravo, Showstopper
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Rogers (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Towne (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 49:51
Dash I/O
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeffrey Mazar (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Aurora, Shooting Star
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Newton Cheng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 57:43
Viserai, Rune Blood
!
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Devon Porcher (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Aurora, Shooting Star
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 57:43
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cory Schmitt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
Nuu, Alluring Desire
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nick Deschamps (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Reese Toomre (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 49:51
Aurora, Shooting Star
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 57:43
Aurora, Shooting Star
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Justin Salmon (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 57:43
Nuu, Alluring Desire
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
Daniel Winckler
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.7
Diff
Aurora, Shooting Star
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Toby Roberts (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 57:43
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathan Whitwer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 49:51
Viserai, Rune Blood
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60
Nuu, Alluring Desire
!!
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hudson Davis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
!
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Aaron Nash
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cary Young (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
Viserai, Rune Blood
!
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs jaystin teets (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Viserai, Rune Blood
!
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Isaac Johnson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cory Schmitt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
Nuu, Alluring Desire
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eric Ting-jui Hsu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
Aurora, Shooting Star
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs William Walle (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 57:43
Joshua Meyers
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Angel Fernandez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chase Osborne (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47
Betsy, Skin in the Game
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Markus Withakay (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Viserai, Rune Blood
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60
Daryoosh Entrikin
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
Aurora, Shooting Star
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 57:43
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs CODY READY (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 49:51
Viserai, Rune Blood
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Montana Krasnov (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Adams (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65
Jarrod Whitmore
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 49:51
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Filiault (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Rudin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 49:51
Aurora, Shooting Star
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Leblanc (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 57:43
Christina Maxwell
dropped • 1-0-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jules Clark (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.