FaB-Results
Kassai of the Golden Sand

Kassai of the Golden Sand

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Colin Eriksen
32nd • 8-4-0
25%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
6.1
Surp
6.5
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anemone Chamlin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!!
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Scarbrough (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Aurora, Shooting Star
!!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Omeid Vadipour (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Nuu, Alluring Desire
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mark Farrell (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 72:28
Nuu, Alluring Desire
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lee Kimball (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 72:28
Aurora, Shooting Star
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 29:71
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jamen Vedova (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
!!
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 26:74
Aurora, Shooting Star
!!
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Norah Porter (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
!!
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Viserai, Rune Blood
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Avery Smith
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 40:60
Nuu, Alluring Desire
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kevin McWhirter (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 72:28
Nuu, Alluring Desire
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ariel Struble (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 72:28
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Thomas Turnbull (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 74:26
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Casey Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Aurora, Shooting Star
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 29:71

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.