Arakni, Huntsman
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-3-1
86%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathan Fortin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Catherine Levine (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Biggs (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Isaac Johnson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Dion Orcutt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Scott Weaville (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Draw |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.