Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at Calling: Yokohama 2026

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

96 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Clinton Ng

3rd • 12-4-0

94%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

7.0

Surp

4.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jakub Tepper (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs yuuta nojiri (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs William Bradshaw (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs MASAYA IWASAKI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Clément LOUBIERE (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs 智行内海 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Michael Wise (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R16 CC

Round 16: Loss vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

94% (15/16 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (9.0 expected, 12 actual)

Surprise

7.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.06
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.05
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.20
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.37
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.28
R8	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.34
R9	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.37
R10	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.45
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.76
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.88
R16	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Andrew Rothermel

5th • 13-2-0

67%

Meta

+5.5

Perf

7.2

Surp

5.8

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs TOMOHIRO TAGUCHI (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Cody Gebert (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Rio Sakai (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Michael Wise (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Brady Hayes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Luke Manship (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Clinton Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

67% (10/15 favorable matchups)

Performance

+5.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 13 actual)

Surprise

7.2 total deviation

Difficulty

5.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.12
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.15
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.26
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.33
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.26
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.30
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.51
R9	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.45
R10	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.76
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.69
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.81
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.93
R15	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Chard Tan

10th • 11-3-0

100%

Meta

+3.2

Perf

6.3

Surp

5.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tomoaki Yoshimura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yusuke Miki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs ryuto nakagawa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Akira Takezaki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jason Watkins (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs 雅仁富山 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Yutaro Yamada (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (14/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.2 Wins (7.8 expected, 11 actual)

Surprise

6.3 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.07
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.23
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.40
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.33
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.54
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.24
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.70
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.77
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.57
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Nicholas On

11th • 11-3-0

79%

Meta

+3.8

Perf

6.8

Surp

5.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Oshiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs chikayuki akashi (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs HIROKI ASAUMI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Daniel Winning (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Wise (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Ali Ryan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Masaru Sasaki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

35:65

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Nicolas Heiden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Meta Fit

79% (11/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 11 actual)

Surprise

6.8 total deviation

Difficulty

5.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.05
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.20
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.20
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.34
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.56
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R10	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.46
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R12	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R13	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.59
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.50

Jakob Allan

17th • 11-3-0

93%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

5.7

Surp

4.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Viet Pham (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lee Ka Yu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Colin Li (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

80:20

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Peng Joon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Colin Topper (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Hazeeq Hilman (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Philippe Thai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Dexter Phan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

93% (13/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (8.1 expected, 11 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.07
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.09
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.20
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.26
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.15
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.37
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.62
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R11	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.31
R12	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.65
R13	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.91
R14	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.66

Khoi Dinh

20th • 10-3-1

79%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

5.7

Surp

3.2

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Pedro Henrique Antunes Rocha (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 78:22

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Victor Lenoble (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs MIN FENG CHIU (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Draw vs Luiz Bretas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs RYO YAMADA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Clément LOUBIERE (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38

75:25

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Philippe Thai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Patrick Steele (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Luke Manship (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Jakub Koenner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

79% (11/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (8.0 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.11
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.08
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.23
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.40
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Draw	✓	0.52	-
R8	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.22
R9	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.44
R10	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.28
R11	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.50
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Ethan Maher

23rd • 10-4-0

93%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

6.3

Surp

4.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael Postle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Cody Broten (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Luke Manship (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Xu Zhenzhe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Emma Hollingsworth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Miguel Rubio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Marquis Tan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs 雅仁富山 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

93% (13/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.07
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.13
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.34
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.20
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.38
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.60
R10	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.47
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.77
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R13	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.91
R14	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

David Yau

24th • 10-4-0

100%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

6.7

Surp

4.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jakob Justin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs IAN MESQUITA (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alexis Planchenault (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs 憲佑佐藤 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ethan Maher (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Yuto Nakamura (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Hayden Buys (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Tariq Patel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (14/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (7.9 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.07
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.13
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R9	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R10	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.42
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R13	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.61
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Yutaro Yamada

26th • 10-4-0

79%

Meta

+2.7

Perf

6.4

Surp

4.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs James Lewis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Leila Catton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 雅仁富山 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Yuto Nakamura (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs lucas gomes pacheco (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Ashley Southwood (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Samuel Gubbins (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs 智行内海 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

79% (11/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.10
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.09
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.16
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.33
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R11	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.08
R12	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.58
R13	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.61
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ilias Karamanis

35th • 10-4-0

79%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

6.1

Surp

4.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marie Watson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Carlo Luis Santos (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Brodey Plecas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Nisthal (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs 圭資山村 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

80:20

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Peng Joon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 78:22

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Noriyuki Sugioka (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

80:20

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Nathan Youngblut (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 82:18

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Husan Bang Chang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Natanael Avellino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

79% (11/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.11
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.23
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.18
R8	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R9	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.19
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.70
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.93
R14	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.98

Yassine Echafai Tripiana

36th • 10-4-0

71%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

6.4

Surp

5.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs hideto takagi (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lo Shih-Chieh (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jason Watkins (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Toh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Nick McGrath (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Yuuki Sakata (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Philippe Thai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs yuki ideue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 39:61

75:25

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 76:24

40:60

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Ashley Southwood (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Meta Fit

71% (10/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (7.7 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.4 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.10
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.20
R4	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.19
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.40
R7	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.37
R9	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R11	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.89
R12	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R13	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.37
R14	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.37

Geri Satria

56th • 9-4-1

86%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

6.3

Surp

3.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alex Mihilli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs humiaki hattori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Huang Bo-Yang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs WAI KIT LO (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Kieran Ng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Sam Coons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs 和佳倉田 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs hideto takagi (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

86% (12/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.05
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Draw	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.24
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.40
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.54
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R10	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.47
R11	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.59
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R13	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R14	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

Danilo Maeda dos Santos

48th • 9-5-0

86%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

6.5

Surp

3.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yohei Mori (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lucas Tenorio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tom Hartley (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs KeDuo Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Mauro Annetta (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Luke Manship (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs hideto takagi (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

75:25

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Lucas Teo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 76:24

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

86% (12/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (7.6 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.05
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.13
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.14
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.27
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R9	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.92
R10	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.29
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R13	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.91
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Huang Bo-Yang

49th • 9-5-0

79%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

6.9

Surp

4.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Pang Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Geri Satria (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Winson Lee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jacques Lacasse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Dave Chia (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Nghia Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Adam Cheah (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Ivan Teo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Jaime Manzano (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

65:35

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs 智行内海 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

79% (11/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.05
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.14
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.23
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.57
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.74
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.39
R14	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Ivan Teo

dropped • 9-4-0

92%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

5.6

Surp

3.5

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Victoria Lakey (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Colin Li (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Greg Sutcliffe (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Man Ho Tang (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Ashley Southwood (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 39:61

75:25

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs 坂上俊輔 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Huang Bo-Yang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

92% (12/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.05
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.11
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.22
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.18
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.35
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.61
R9	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R10	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.30
R11	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.80
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R13	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Husan Bang Chang

dropped • 8-5-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

5.7

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Munehiro Tada (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs toshiaki tamura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Matthew W (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Keita Arai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Chuan Yang Loy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

90:10

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 89:11

80:20

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs 北斗神原 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 78:22

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Masaru Sasaki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs 雅仁富山 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (13/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (8.0 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.07
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.23
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.29
R5	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.15
R6	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.51
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.10
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.24
R10	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R11	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.55
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tariq Patel

dropped • 8-5-0

85%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

6.5

Surp

3.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bernardo José Alves (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kentaro Hase (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Andy Kim (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs motohiro makigano (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs bill huynh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

85% (11/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.14
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.15
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.20
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.25
R6	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.63
R7	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.39
R9	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.72
R11	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.16
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Ali Ryan

dropped • 7-5-0

75%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

4.7

Surp

2.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Xingyu ZHOU (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 隆誠細井 (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 69:31

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Yuen Peir Teo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Nicholas On (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 39:61

30:70

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 30:70

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.06
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.13
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.22
R5	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.16
R6	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.20
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.58
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.63
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R11	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R12	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Hayden Buys

dropped • 7-5-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

5.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kelvin Tan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs James Hodges (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 39:61

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Wu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ugo Henson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

90:10

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Theodore Andrew (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 89:11

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Sam Tsafalas (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Luiz Bretas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs 和佳倉田 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (7.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.08
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.10
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.22
R5	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.57
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.08
R7	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.23
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R11	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.58
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Kento Inagaki

dropped • 7-5-0

75%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

5.7

Surp

3.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs hiromitsu nohara (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hiroyuki Tanaka (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andrew Martinez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Motoyoshi Bambara (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

90:10

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs logan boyd (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 89:11

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs lucas gomes pacheco (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Takumi Kawabe (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.38
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.22
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.07
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.88
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R10	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R12	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Ryan Rich

dropped • 7-5-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

5.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christian Byrnes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Man Ho Tang (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brodey Plecas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Cody Gebert (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs RYO YAMADA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs 歩櫻井 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (12/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (7.4 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.06
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.11
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.23
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.40
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.32
R7	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.23
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R9	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.29
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R11	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R12	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Adam Cheah

dropped • 7-4-0

91%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

5.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ashley Southwood (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Munehiro Tada (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Cheuk Hin Jacky Ho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Natanael Avellino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Hazama Levi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Huang Bo-Yang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Clément LOUBIERE (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

91% (10/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.17
R3	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.11
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.36
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.45
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.54
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.68
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.62
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

lucas gomes pacheco

dropped • 6-5-0

91%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

4.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Stephen Miller (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 智行内海 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Akihiro Takano (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

80:20

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs yuuta nojiri (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs bill huynh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

91% (10/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (6.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.05
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.18
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.29
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.19
R7	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.73
R9	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

yuki ideue

dropped • 6-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

4.8

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jason Watkins (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eugene Neo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 三輪佑樹 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Nathan Lucev (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs 高柳賢一 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Sam Yuen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Lucas Teo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (10/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.09
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.15
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.29
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.23
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.67
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.51
R9	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nicholas Wong

dropped • 6-2-1

78%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.3

Surp

3.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Natalie Birch (Unknown)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs タカヤスギモト (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andreas Björnsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 77:23

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Noriyuki Sugioka (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Carlo Ople (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Leon Schüßler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Draw	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.13
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.17
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

Yuichi Oshima

dropped • 6-2-1

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs カイブラック (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Gary Manttan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

80:20

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs 北斗神原 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ali Ryan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs 圭資山村 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Lee Ka Yu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.10
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.14
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.41
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.23
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Draw	✓	0.51	-
R9	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.64

Chun On Anson Wong

dropped • 6-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 雄斗宮地 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alfred Lauw (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Miguel Rubio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Marcus Javier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Hotaka Nishijima (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Mitch Winter (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.13
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.29
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.43
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.84
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

Diego Souza

dropped • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.8

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alex Lindley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs EIKI SUGAI (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yuki Takayasu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

90:10

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs David Trinh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 89:11

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Martin KRAWIES (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Ryo Kawasaki (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs カイブラック (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.28
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.11
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.59
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.94

Emmanuel Rojas

dropped • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs kou rui yang (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 39:61

90:10

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Fabricio Talmas (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 89:11

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs ChingHeng Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Drei Cortez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs MASAYA IWASAKI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jason Chua (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Nicolas Heiden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.04
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.33
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.42
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.63
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ian Chan

dropped • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.9

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs James Lewis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Didde-Esteban (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eddy C (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Colin Li (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 30:70

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.09
R3	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.13
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.28
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.41
R6	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.57
R8	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R9	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.39

Matthew McInnis

dropped • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Huang Bo-Yang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs yuuta nojiri (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Luke Manship (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Danilo Maeda dos Santos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Man Ho Tang (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.07
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.44
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

Nghia Tran

dropped • 6-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ged Felipe Santos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Luiz Bretas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Wookyung Park (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jack Tong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

80:20

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Huang Bo-Yang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Peng Joon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 78:22

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.07
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.26
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.41
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.42
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.27
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.35

Nicholas Tan (Nickay)

dropped • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Duy Khoi Hoang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jia Zheng Yeo (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hojin Choi (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33

90:10

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 89:11

80:20

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.13
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.26
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.09
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.23
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.76
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.57
R9	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

Sergiu Morar

dropped • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.4

Surp

3.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Muhammad Harraz Mohd Aris (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs タカヤスギモト (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hiroaki Suzuki (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 69:31

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Yufu Huang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs chikayuki akashi (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Law Wen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.24
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.41
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.06
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Yuto Nakamura

dropped • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.6

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joel Guzman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pascal Flügel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Brandon Canedy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Brady Hayes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Yutaro Yamada (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs 圭資山村 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.17
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.14
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.22
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.44
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.96

hiromitsu nohara

dropped • 6-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Albert Schütt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Patrick Steele (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Yuen Peir Teo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jakub Koenner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.14
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.25
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.42
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.30
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.94

ryo inoue

dropped • 6-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.4

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs zion moore (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 76:24

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Clément LOUBIERE (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Maher (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Zachary Adams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

80:20

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs 憲佑佐藤 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Gary Manttan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Rio Sakai (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.04
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.15
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.55
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.23
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

yuuta nojiri

dropped • 6-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Clinton Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jun Jie Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

90:10

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ivan Dinnesh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 89:11

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs lucas gomes pacheco (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Yuta Maruo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.04
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.22
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.42
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.11
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.75

Tim Yap

dropped • 5-3-1

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.2

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yu Hang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs John Record (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs JORDAN BEANGE (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Takahiro Motooka (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

80:20

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Vincent Lim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 82:18

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Kazuaki Fukui (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Martin KRAWIES (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (5.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.04
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Draw	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.13
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.22
R6	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.19
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.57
R9	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Daniel Winning

dropped • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 直人三田 (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33

90:10

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 89:11

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Steven Christian (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sam Tsafalas (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas On (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Brenna Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (5.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.06
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.04
R3	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.13
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.28
R5	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.22
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Tyler Goodridge

dropped • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.0

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs James Cave (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Wen Yu Thye (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ryuya Fukuda (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kai Liang Fong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Daniel Sternesky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.04
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.33
R4	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.52
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.57
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.59
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

FUNG CC

dropped • 4-5-0

89%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ryusei Tani (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yutaka Aiko (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 37:63

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Pedro Ugioni (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Ernesto Manzur (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs WAI KIT LO (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Emmanuel Rojas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.22
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.25
R4	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.22
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.27
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nathaniel Jerald Bea

dropped • 4-5-0

89%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

4.6

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Keith Ang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Amy Hazel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Aaron Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Benedictus See (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs HyoungJun You (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Henry Leasure (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs 政大板谷 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (4.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.11
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.42
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.53
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.49
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Daniel Mckinlay

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Fabian Rex (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Pedro Caliman (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kai Liang Fong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Teo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs MIN FENG CHIU (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Alexis Planchenault (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Hazeeq Hilman (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.38
R3	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.48
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.82
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Rafael Salsa

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 司忠甲地 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs WAI KIT LO (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Remi Grasset (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Luke Manship (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.08
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.17
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.35
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.59
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kohaku Ishimaru

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yuma Ishikura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Blaine Pascu (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alice Greer-Stokes (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nicolas Bouffard (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

90:10

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 89:11

90:10

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 89:11

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.42
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.14
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.16

Law Wen

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daryl Choo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ernesto Manzur (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lucas Tenorio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dusk Low (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Nick McGrath (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.35
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.82
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ravi Sharma

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

4.3

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tomohiko Shimanouchi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matthew W (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jun Jie Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kelvin Tan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

90:10

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ivan Dinnesh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 89:11, favorite upset

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Brandon Canedy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.23
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.25
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.74
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	90%	Loss	✓	0.89	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

CYK Lionel

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 良亮河野 (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matthew Duggan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Xu Zhenzhe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Blaine Pascu (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.19
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.64
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.25
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-

Dalton Cameron

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs treeming Tsang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Elyse Symmes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 歩櫻井 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Sam Coons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.22
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.42
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Elton Siang

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ryo Shigeta (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs YUJIE MAO (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

90:10

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs David Trinh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 89:11

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nathan Lucev (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs hideto takagi (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.08
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.19
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.07
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.28
R6	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Gary Manttan

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Frederik Kostka (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ali Ryan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sam Tsafalas (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Viet Pham (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ethan Lee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.13
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.80
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mat Himmelman

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Willy Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs zen tani (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nick McGrath (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Marklin Spencer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Nicolas Heiden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.64
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.28
R6	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.81
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Ryan Baker

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Abdurrahman Putra (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Casey Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sam Coons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs HIROKI ASAUMI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Esmond Heng (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs 坂上俊輔 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.09
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.21
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.40
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.02
R6	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R7	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Tigran Grigorian

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rocko Yan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daisuke Nakashima (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs タカユキアサヒナ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.21
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.54
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.80
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Xincheng Hou

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.4

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 小谷康斗 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hojin Choi (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Wookyung Park (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs タカヤスギモト (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Emmanuel Rojas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.17
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.25
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.43
R5	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.57
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Xiu Meng Yip

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.4

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Marcus Javier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eon Lovelace (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Paul Lansang (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nathan Burns (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Winson Lee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.19
R3	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.23
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.54
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.47
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Yuki Matsumoto

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs David Tham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

90:10

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christian Johnsen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 89:11

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sam Yuen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Colin Topper (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Setiawan (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.10
R2	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.11
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.07
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.36
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R7	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Gary Lee

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

0.7

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 圭資山村 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kurtis phelps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs PH Chung (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 69:31

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Chan Lion (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.05
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.27
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.38
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Muhammad Harraz Mohd Aris

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

90:10

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Chih Wei Huang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 89:11

90:10

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 89:11

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs David Brannen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ko Sato (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Giovanni Prinzivalli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.05
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.07
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.70
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Michaele Teppa

dropped • 2-5-0

86%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

3.6

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mathias W (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs lucas gomes pacheco (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.14
R2	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.41
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Benjamin Westmore

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.3

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 78:22

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yutaka Aiko (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Carlo Ople (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs 秀太栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.06
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.25
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.00
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Nicolas Bouffard

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Doriann LASSARA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kristoffer Hans Lim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 三輪佑樹 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Akihiro Takano (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Geri Satria (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kohaku Ishimaru (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.13
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.44
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Clong H

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Takatoshi Sato (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs hideto takagi (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Clément LOUBIERE (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Viktor Nelipovich (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Brenna Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.10
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.50
R3	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Rocko Yan

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.3

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lee Ka Yu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Johann Louie Ong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Zaballero (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Marcus Javier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs York kwok (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.00
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-

treeming Tsang

dropped • 1-4-1

100%

Meta

-2.6

Perf

3.3

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jari Vincke (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 政大板谷 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Cristerson Chee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jonathan Oshiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.22
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Draw	✓	0.63	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

結友太田

dropped • 2-2-1

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs 英明大山 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Parth Patel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yusuke Miki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ethan Lee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Draw	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.38
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Joel Recinos III

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs John Record (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sean Firoz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Postle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.23
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.53
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Josh Lind

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Erika Forslöf (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Hlaing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Victor Bousch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Philippe Thai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 祥弘橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.59
R4	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tom Bradford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Benedictus See (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mikko Salmi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs ka chun chan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.38
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.54
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Ricardo Rua

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.0

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 小谷康斗 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.08
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.90
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Tsuyoshi Kaji

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Wen Yu Thye (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Choi Tae seong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.79
R5	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

Tyler Kearney

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

90:10

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 89:11

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ashley Southwood (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 39:61

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Diego Souza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.03
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.20
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Viet Pham

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Parth Patel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Clément LOUBIERE (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael McDowell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.25
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.75
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

William Bradshaw

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jared Blazich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brady Hayes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ryosuke Nakata (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.41
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

ChangSheng Sze Tho

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

90:10

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 89:11, favorite upset

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Teo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs ZongRu Wu (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daryl Choo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ryuya Fukuda (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	90%	Loss	✓	0.89	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R3	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Jared Blazich

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jacques Lacasse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Darius Zacharakis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Blaž Hrastnik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.79
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Robert Wise

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Colin Topper (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kyujung Lee (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.23
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Klein Tian

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Edmondo Mazzulli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ryan Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.70
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Luis Gálvez Cavalheiro

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kanata Ishimaru (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Henry Leasure (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Henrique Gouvêa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.25
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-

Yusuke Miki

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.1

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs タカユキアサヒナ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 結友太田 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.10
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Zack Phillips

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs CYK Lionel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Johnny Zen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Raymond Griffin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 祥弘橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

rei ohtani

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kainuma Daisuke (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christian Drabusenigg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs James Lewis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.20
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Daryl Choo

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Law Wen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Burns (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs ChangSheng Sze Tho (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

yenwei Wang

dropped • 1-0-2

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Trevor Valentine (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs 葉建億 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jari Vincke (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Draw	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

Alfian Poon

dropped • 1-1-1

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.1

Diff

90:10

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs arnaud rey (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 89:11

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Kaan Moğulkoç (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38

90:10

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs logan boyd (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 89:11, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.05
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Draw	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	90%	Loss	✓	0.89	-

Edmondo Mazzulli

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chuan Yang Loy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Klein Tian (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kazuna Otsuka (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Hiroyuki Tanaka

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 인구 김 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.94

Kin Bong Ernie Wong

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs RYO YAMADA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Chung Si Chia (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.21
R2	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Yang-Chia Chang

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jari Vincke (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Leon Schüßler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.22
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Brett Curtain

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Lee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Wookyung Park (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Postle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Ernesto Silva

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 圭資山村 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs ChingHeng Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Matilda Soon

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Keita Arai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

優輝相澤

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Cheng Chun-You (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gaia Enomoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Shinmura Kazuya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Erika Forslöf

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Josh Lind (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ben Ong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Brandon Fields

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Winson Lee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.